For better and for worse. The formula is devoted to marriages as a glove in Hong Kong. China, with its tremendous growth (10.7% last quarter 2009), certainly takes the resumption of the Special Administrative Region (SAR), politically subservient to Beijing but economically and financially independent. However, it also threatens to plunge the country into a spiral of overheating.
"The potential risk of forming bubbles is high," says Norman Chan, Executive Director of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
In China, prices are rising for several months now so excessive, and many experts are warning the country against the dangers of relapse.Mid-January, during the Asian Financial Forum, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) called for the establishment of measures of capital controls in Asia, stating: "Until is temporary, it probably only means to avoid the bubble shape. Beijing does nothing when the bank credit limit to 7.500 billion yuan (773 billion euros) in 2010, against 9590 billion yuan (966 billion) per annum penny.
"The Chinese spend freely"
The Government of Hong Kong is believed to be safe. But it was forgotten that the two powers "are linked by two-way interests perfectly understood one side or the other, as recalled Victor Visot, president of advisers of Foreign Trade of France.
The city is a work in progress."500 buildings out of earth each year, observes Edward Yau, Minister of Environment, pointing to the towers being built around his office. While height and meet new environmental standards, "says he, anxious to point out that 70% of the land remains wild.
Even 710,000 Hong Kong dollars (66 cash advance in one hour .700 Euros) per square meter for an apartment overlooking the sea, tearing programs like hotcakes. The mainland Chinese are the first customers of Hong Kong developers."All the establishement of Beijing and Shanghai, all top managers have a pied-?-terre here that they have or not a business, said Edward Leung, chief economist at the Hong Kong Trade Development Council. They are the ones who buy goods more expensive and they have that, unlike the financial crisis of 1997-1998, house prices do not collapse. "
They invest more easily than the Chinese authorities have allowed banks on the continent to settle in Hong Kong. In the luxury shops of the Central neighborhood, one recognizes immediately the Chinese in their Mandarin while everyone here speaks Cantonese. "They have money, they spend freely and today supply 60% of sales of major brands," said Victor Visot.
After declining 20% in fall 2008, housing prices soared again, observes Helen Chan, senior economist for the government.Especially in the high end, where they rose 30% in 2009, at the same time that transactions were exploding, driven by interest rates very low (0.5% base rate).
While "the risk of a bubble is not imminent," dithers Nomura specialist on site. But it is real enough that Hong Kong officials, while saying "do not control capital movements, consider taking administrative measures to curb overheating. As they did last October, raising the deposit on the most luxurious apartments.
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