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After winning nearly 4% last week, the CAC 40 has shown much hesitation on Monday. After opening on a positive note on Monday, rising 0.81% to 3243.93 points, it is passed back to balance, to 3218.06 points (-0.02%) on the stroke of 13 hours before significantly in the red sign at closing. In the final meeting, the CAC 40 shows a decrease of 1.61% below 3200 points at 3166.06 points.

The enthusiasm of the morning gave way to uncertainty about after German leaders who are very cautious about a future resolution of the crisis in Europe.

Investors have not long welcomed the determination shown by European finance ministers at the G20 Finance last weekend."Advanced countries will adopt, taking into account their respective national circumstances, policies to strengthen the confidence and support growth and implement measures clear, credible and targeted to rebalance public finances" stressed ministers in statement.

Above all, they promise to make a decision at the European Summit of October 23, described as "decisive" on Saturday by Minister of Economy Baroin.For its part, the ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said the euro was "not threatened", but called on all Europeans to be "extremely vigilant" with regard to public finances.

Attempted to reassure the ability of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to support countries in difficulty, Christine Lagarde, the Executive Director, has determined that the resources of the institution for the time were "appropriate" and "fit" to Micro Europe 1. And, while many European countries are considering to use the Fund to prevent contagion of the crisis in the euro area in case of bankruptcy of Athens.

Measures of expected savings on the U.S. side

On the other side of the Atlantic, U.S. President Barack Obama must include measures of fiscal consolidation through a savings plan.Last Friday, the country's budget deficit reached 8.7% of GDP in 2010-2011, 0.3 points less than in the previous year, according to the Treasury. In absolute terms however, the fiscal gap widened slightly compared to fiscal 2010, 0.4%, from the threshold of 1.299 trillion dollars, making it the second biggest deficit of the History of the United States.Concerns also weigh on U.S. growth, after the deterioration of consumer sentiment surprise U.S. beginning in October, falling incomes leading consumer expectations to their lowest level for over 31 years guaranteed approval cash advance loans.

Following the announcement of the failure of 20% of the 360,000 small businesses in Zhejiang Province since the beginning of the year, Beijing also pledged to "rebalance" its growth engines through a battery of measures this week.

The euro retreated slightly

On the foreign exchange market, the euro fell slightly against the U.S. dollar on Monday morning at 1.284 dollars (-0.21%). While oil was up in Asia after a barrel of "light sweet crude" for November delivery clinching 35 cents to 87.15 dollars in early electronic trading.Barrel of Brent North Sea crude for December delivery gained 18 cents to 112.41 him dollars.

Banks remain top values ​​to follow this Monday

• Banking

Standard & Poor's (S & P) announced Friday it lowered the long-term rating of BNP Paribas (-3.72% to 31.05 euros) from "AA" to "AA-" and the Bichri (Banking Industry Country Risk Assessment) of France in Group 1 Group 2. In this context, investors will keep an eye on Societe Generale (-2.81% to 20.25 euros) and Credit Agricole (-2.16% to 5.085 euros).

• Dexia (-16.71% to 0.578 euros)

The National Assembly will consider the draft supplementary budget by establishing a government guarantee.

• Air France-KLM (1.43% to 5.606 euros)

A special board meets Monday for the start RECORDED Pierre-Henri Gourgeon, as revealed by Le Figaro yesterday.In addition, three cabin crew unions (PNC) filed a strike notice for the weekend of All Saints to protest job cuts.

• Renault (-3.06% to 26.635 euros)

The new organization called the head of the manufacturer after the false spy case will come into force on 2 November as planned and strengthen the power of the CEO Carlos Ghosn with the aim to avoid the fiasco of the early recurrence in 2011.

• Axa (1.74% to 10.745 euros)

The French insurer Axa wants to eliminate by 2015 about 1,500 jobs in Germany, or one sixth of its workforce in the country, the Financial Times Deutschland on Monday.

• Eurosic (-0.43% to 32.35 euros)

The group has completed the acquisition of 22 office buildings with GE Capital Real Estate valued rights included 340 million euros.

• Edenred (-3.03% to 18.57 euros), Guyenne Gascogne (1.50% to 80.66 euros), Mercialys (-0.11% to 27.5 euros) will publish their results for the third quarter after Stock Exchange.

With the individual

The Finance Act 2012 goes a new movement of the plane 10% of the 14 tax loopholes already affected in 2011 (rental investment schemes, investment in unlisted companies including …). Although the tax credit for taxpayers conducting energy conservation work in their primary residence is no exception to the planing, the government decided to initiate a reform of assistive devices to the improving the energy performance of dwellings. He wants to promote major renovations including the return on investment is sometimes more than thirty years.This work financially unattractive, however, are needed to achieve the 38% reduction in consumption of existing buildings in the park, set by the Grenelle Environment Forum.

What work is encouraged?

To reach its target of 400,000 retrofits thermal year, the government intends to achieve more attractive bunches of work. Thus, taxpayers carrying the same year, at least two categories of work will receive a tax credit rates increased by 10 points, but the rate so obtained may not exceed 45%. This may include, for example, the joint realization of the wall insulation and the roof, along with installing a new boiler performance or installing a heat pump.The device, which was completed December 31, 2012, is extended for three years.

Bercy does he discourage some work?

Indeed, work is now less efficient on the spot. Thus, the installation of double glazed windows, entry door or shutters in a house no longer open right to the tax benefit if it is not accompanied by other work faxless payday advance. And when applied, the rate of the tax credit will be lowered to 11% in 2012. Similarly, the tax credit for installing solar panels for electricity production is seriously dented. The rate will increase from 22% to 13% and the tax benefit will be subject to a specific ceiling, set by decree.Costs savings are now included in an overall ceiling of € 8000 multi for a single person and 16,000 euros for a married or civil union, this amount being increased by € 400 per dependent.

Funding arrangements will they be improved?

In 2011, only 50,000 Eco-PTZ (interest-free loans granted for thermal renovation of housing) have been granted. A figure well below the objectives of the Grenelle Environment Forum. Therefore the government intends to make it more effective. Its maximum reimbursement would increase from 10 to 15 years when financing the simultaneous production of at least three kinds of work. This would apply to offers of loans issued from 1 April 2012.Similarly, to allow low-income households to achieve these major renovations, homes with an income tax benchmark tax is less than 30,000 euros per year will earn the Eco-PTZ and the tax credit. And, for offers of loans issued from January 1, 2012.

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Risk of default of Greece, uncertainty about the Italian economy, banks in the crosshairs of the rating agencies … in times of financial uncertainty, real estate is more than ever its role as a refuge. A study by the Ipsos institute for the network of estate agents Orpi, released this morning confirmed. 39% of respondents, real estate is "the safest investment in France today."

The stone ahead and booklets and savings accounts offered by banks (29%), and life insurance (19%). Actions (2%) and bonds (2%) are even further relegated last. The survey results show that confidence in real estate is even stronger than household incomes are high.Thus, over half (52%) of those reporting more than 3000 euros monthly income claims to have faith in the stone.

If Bernard Cadeau, president of the Orpi network, welcomes the conclusions of the study, he also expressed fears for the future. Recent government decisions – taxation of capital gains, reducing the advantage Scellier have …- he said, clearly upset the French. "It also translates instantly into the field with 5% of our customers who have taken the mandate to sell their second home in the weeks that followed," said he. A view shared by Gilles Ricour Bourges, his counterpart at the Paris-Fnaim. Since August 25, the real estate professionals succeed in denouncing the announcements made by the government and their negative effects on the market and on household budgets as prices could rise again because of the shortage.Analysis they will not fail to spread on the occasion of the exhibition of real estate in Paris, which opened on next weekend.

Caution on the Cac 40. In the wake of the Asian stock markets and the day after a sharp drop on Wall Street, investors should not take any risks. According to market operators, the Cac 40 and may open down.

Markets are waiting with some anxiety the president's speech to the U.S. central bank, Ben Bernanke, the outlook for the U.S. economy. An hour and a half ago, the U.S. government has released its second estimate of GDP for the second quarter. The consensus growth overseas could fall by 0.2 point to 1.1% from the first estimate. On Thursday, weekly jobless claims declined.Causing a sharp decline in U.S. stock markets.

On the corporate side, the ball results Essilor continues with the program on Friday morning.

Essilor International reported first half sales of 2.06 billion euros, up 6.9%, the band announced via a press release issued in the edition of Les Echos to appear Friday payday loans lenders.

Financials

The ban on short selling financial stocks on Thursday was extended to France, like Italy, Spain and Belgium, and the Financial Markets Authority (AMF) said it would review its position by late September.

Total expected to present a reorganization in the fall of scale of its operations downstream, with a planned merger of its refining and petrochemicals, according to Les Echos, citing union sources.

As for oil, prices were mixed Friday morning during electronic trading in Asia, in a sluggish market, before the highly anticipated speech of the head of the U.S. central bank (Fed). In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October gave 10 cents to 85.20 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery took 19 cents to 110.81 dollars.

Greece seriously concerned about new markets. First because of its new economic forecast alarming: the finance minister, Evangelos Venizelos, admitted yesterday that the austerity plan would cause a recession than expected, with a decline in GDP is now estimated at 4.5% " at least "in 2011 against 3.8% prior.

But mainly because the second plan with 158.6 billion euros, concocted by the Heads of State on July 21 and has yet to be ratified by all members of the euro area, has been seriously shaken by Finland.

Helsinki this week announced it has signed a bilateral agreement with Athens where, in exchange for his participation in the bailout, Greece to collateral ("Collateral") to Finland. This sum, which some analysts valued at 1 billion euros would be invested by Finland in risk-free assets.Interest earned will, in the end, to cover the amount loaned in the rescue plan. In other words, the Finnish government has made pledges to ensure against any risk of default of Greece.

Two-tier system

Technical in appearance, this agreement could have an impact politically devastating. Although this is a bilateral agreement, "Member States of the zone will validate this discussion between Finland and Greece," said a spokesman for the Commission, Amadeu Altafaj, ensuring that " Negotiations are already underway. "

But in Brussels, it does not hide his concern. If it is definitely validated the agreement between Finland and Greece could open a Pandora's box by allowing other countries to step into the breach. Austria, Slovakia and Slovenia are already tempted to do the same."We believe this agreement will exacerbate the problems of Greece and did not fall," warned yesterday the Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte. He said the solution is equivalent in effect to "resume direct" the money lent. However, the Dutch Prime Minister said that if the Finns get this guarantee, it should apply to all countries in the euro area quick cash.

Therein lies the problem. By creating a two-tier system, the agreement undermines the solidarity displayed by the leaders of the euro area on July 21. "The participation of Finland has been canceled," said one EU source, deploring an arrangement going "against the spirit of the agreement" for Seventeen.

Difficult, however, to reverse, the source added.Helsinki is indeed required to deal with the nationalist party of the True Finns since their breakthrough in the last legislative elections and their reluctance to come to the rescue baskets drilled in the euro area.

Markets are not fooled

Under the pressure of Finland, the Heads of State of Seventeen had included a short clause in their agreement of July 21, stating that "where appropriate, a security agreement will be established to cover the risk arising, for Member States of the euro area, the guarantees they have provided to EFSF. " The rhetoric is vague and leaves open to interpretation. Yesterday in Brussels, experts from the ministries of finance in the euro area came together to floor on the issue.

For the Commission, this development is not a surprise, and he emphasizes the urgency of ratifying the agreement of July 21.José Manuel Barroso had written to heads of state of the euro area from August 3 to ask them to speed up the timetable, and thus "avoid introducing excessive stress in terms of conditions or additional collateral." We understand better the rush now.

Athens wanted reassurance yesterday, indicating he had entered into negotiations with a pledge of Helsinki. But financial markets are not fooled: "If all countries in the euro area, each requiring a Trust Agreement, this will restrict all the help that will actually be available for Greece," say economists at Barclays Capital. This would imply de facto establishment of an additional third envelope.

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It's a real competition gigatisme. After the announcement by Prince al-Walid to build a tower more than a thousand feet high, the Burj Dubai skyscraper almost seem "small." Yet, this tower, which rises to 828 meters currently holds the record for the tallest tower in the world. And the number of buildings approaching that height now record, will increase in coming years.

The popularity of the towers is very strong especially in emerging countries, which will soon appear three new skyscrapers lying in a range in height from 500 to 800 meters. Symbols of modernity and economic development, they show by their names prosperity of their city or country. The Makkah Clock Royal Tower (601 m) should be opened in Saudi Arabia at the end of this year.The draft Jakarta Tower (588 m) in Indonesia, launched in 1997, should finally set up in 2012. As for the tallest tower in China, the Shanghai Tower (632m), with completion scheduled for 2014.

United States, where the tallest buildings are just above half a mile, top of a building 541mètres should dominate the sky in 2013. This is a skyscraper built on the ruins of the World Trade Center.

If prices continue to increase, rising interest rates tend to slow down on its side. The latest results of the Housing Credit Monitoring / CSA published Monday, the average rate charged by banks for getting a home loan rose to 3.90% in July, or 0.04 basis points over that in June.

It's much more at the end of 2010, where it reached a low of 3.27% on average, before rising sharply in the first quarter of 2011. In the early months of the year, interest rates have taken nearly 10 basis points per month, before slowing gradually to rise in the second quarter.

Because the factors that competed so far in the rise in interest rates now seem not to have to play. "The increase began in November 2010 was related to liquidity constraints imposed by the Basel III.To satisfy them, the banks have increased their margins on new loans payday loan lenders. Today, this adjustment – of around 70 points to 100 basis points depending on the establishment – is probably done, "said Michel Mouillart, an economist at Paris X-Nanterre.

Other factors, however, could take over. The cost of money, in particular, could rise because of uncertainties related to the amount of sovereign debt. For the moment, "this factor did not play," said the economist. But it is already expected that the three-month interbank rates and increasing to ten years until 2012, drawing upward those for mortgages. "The movement of rising interest rates should continue," predicts ultimately Eluère Olivier, an economist at Credit Agricole.

Increase the duration of loans

Photo credits: Jean-Christophe Marmara / Le Figaro

Carrefour and its major shareholders still have progress to make to master the subtleties of samba. The merger of the Brazilian subsidiary of global distributor with the second casino, Grupo Pao de Acucar (GPA), is abandoned.

Scaffold for months in the back of its local partner Casino Abilio Diniz (President and owner of 21% of GPA), with the support of BNDES, the Brazilian equivalent of the Deposit, the project would have allowed Crossroads take control of all activities involving the two Brazilian groups. The company, known as Pao de Acucar Novo, would have made 30 billion euros in sales and held 32.3% of the local market, against 11.1% for the U.S. WalMart.

Las.Faced with fierce opposition from Casino, which supports the development of this project is contrary to the shareholders' agreement binding Abilio Diniz, BNDES announced its withdrawal on the night of Tuesday to Wednesday. While Diniz seeks private investors to substitute for Brazilian BNDES, he lost some of its political support.

This halted the project is mostly a failure for Carrefour, which had the most to gain. The group chose to take advantage of the disagreement between Diniz and Casino to join in a risky project, rather than seeing the Brazilian partner with WalMart. If successful, Carrefour could forget his many disappointments. The group is not out of a serious area of ​​turbulence in its domestic market, putting pressure on its outstanding CEO Lars Olofsson and its principal shareholders, Groupe Arnault and Colony Capital payday advance lenders.The latter, entered the capital of the retailer in March 2007, when the action was worth 53 euros, have increased the project, or attempted to bounce the stock price, which dropped by half since: sale of Brazilian and Chinese subsidiaries , public offerings of real estate branch, split Dia. In vain.

Brazil lost the battle has also cast a cruel light on the performance of Carrefour in the country, its first growth opportunities ahead of China. Abilio Diniz revealed that the operating profitability of Carrefour Brazil was 1%, seven times less than that of GPA. Casino and pointed the loss of market share of hypermarkets in Brazil, for the benefit of supermarkets and convenience stores.If its chain of wholesale stores Atacadao is a success, Carrefour, local leader, sees its hypermarkets suffer against those of Extra, a subsidiary of ABM.

Overconfidence

After 550 million of provisions recorded by Carrefour last year as a result of accounting fraud at its Brazilian subsidiary, the latter saw his image tarnished again. The withdrawal of the BNDES also shows that Carrefour had underestimated the political power relations in Brazil, or too trusted Abilio Diniz …

If new proposed combination with GPA must be submitted to the board of Carrefour in the coming months, it would still be opposed to casino, and no political support in Brazil. This time, the independent directors of Carrefour might well make their voices heard.

Pending the arrival of his eagerly awaited first smartphone with the Windows operating system Phone at the end of the year, and production "mass" in 2012, we have to wait markets and customers. That Stephen Elop, president of Nokia strived to do during the CommunicAsia exhibition in Singapore. "Our main strategy in the field of smartphones is to focus on the Windows phone," he said, for its next billion mobile.

For Nokia, it is urgent. Last month, the group issued a warning on its sales and results, giving even to make predictions, as the period is difficult.Its sales continue to decline, it would hold more than 13.1% of the smartphone market in the first quarter against 25% a year earlier.

But maintaining a strong presence of the Symbian operating system in its range and choice of Microsoft at the expense of Android leave many doubts cast. While the number of applications available on a smartphone is a paramount requirement, the Finn is not in the race. It strives for the time to catch up in smartphones, highlighting the N9 in Singapore, expected to outdo the iPhone and Android to its competitors. To do so, Nokia boasts jumble "three home pages," his "handy user interface," "better voice quality," connectivity … The N9 (under platform Meego) is also equipped with a NFC connection, which enables contactless payments.With this feature, shows that Nokia is still able to board the train for a new technology, not to watch the competition from without it.

With the launch of three new models (N8, E7, C7 and C6-01 will be sold in July) Nokia has pushed the highlight of its commitment to Symbian OS. These terminals will be equipped with the new update system Symbian Anna. Novelty of this new version, it will be downloadable for those who have already bought one of these phones. And over the next twelve months, Nokia will market up to ten new smartphones based on Symbian. From there to imagine that the Finnish and protects against possible setbacks of its U.S. partner, there is only one step.It also reaffirms its loyalty and its customers, accustomed to its operating system, and that it might lose by abandoning it completely. Hence the idea to favor a smooth transition.

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The Center for Strategic Analysis (CAS) will publish tomorrow Tuesday an interesting note on employment and unemployment among youth. "After much reduced between 1995 and 2008, youth unemployment has not been more sensitive to the crisis in France than in the average OECD country," says the CAS.

The number of under 25 unemployed has increased by 4.3 points in France in 2008-2009 to 23.2%, against an increase of nearly 6 points in the OECD countries.Nevertheless, France still exceeds the three-point average of industrialized countries and is located "halfway between countries that have rates two to three times lower, as the Netherlands (7.8%) and Germany (8.3%) and those where they are approaching double the average, like Spain (43.1%) or the Baltics. "

If the best trained are best protected, the higher qualification of youth did not prevent their conditions of entry into active life to deteriorate. One third of 15-24 year olds have jobs of limited duration, against 11% of all employees. "There is no single answer to youth unemployment, otherwise we would have found it," insists Vincent Chriqui, head of the CAS.

No "youth minimum wage"

Former Plan Commissioner made four proposals in line with government policy no teletrek payday advance.He suggests "developing a wide range of alternative tools to schooling 'for 200,000 young" dropouts "listed by year: alternate pathway" second chance ", strengthened support … To further reduce the number of young people without qualifications, CAS argues that "the development of learning is more beneficial than in the past for training of secondary education." It should even be "a shared priority" prefects, regional councils, presidents or partners.

To reduce labor costs in the commercial sector – as France has not introduced, unlike other countries, a "youth minimum wage" – the CAS proposes to expand the number of assisted contracts in the private and make "a management tool and counter-cyclical support to young people most in need."The advisory body to the Prime Minister finally suggests to "enhance the experience of young people in the nonprofit sector by transforming a share of subsidized jobs in the public sector apprenticeships.

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