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If it is a voice that carried Washington to moderate the heat-regulating the political class, it is that Jamie Dimon. Basking in the solid background of his bank during the 2008-2009 financial crisis, the CEO of JP Morgan had indeed become the "king" of risk control. And for four years, it is he who plays the role of informal spokesman of the profession when it comes to denounce the excesses or inconsistencies of new financial regulations.

This means that the trading loss of JP Morgan will cause shock waves far beyond the U.S. bank itself. Because the event takes place at the heart of a highly topical debate in the U.S. and Europe: that the application of the Volcker rule. This rule, named after former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker, seeks to prohibit banks that collect deposits from households to perform speculative operations. It was incorporated into the enormous legislative package – the Dodd-Frank – pass Congress in 2010 and any revision of financial regulation.

Activity called "cover"

Prevent commercial banks from becoming casino, the idea is consensual. But the implementation creates endless debates. The Volcker rule bans the proprietary trading – made with the bank's own funds and not on behalf of clients – and the management of hedge funds low fee payday loans. The definition of proprietary trading is difficult, however, and all the lobbying power of Wall Street is deployed to make it as restrictive as possible.

In the coming days, no doubt the arguments will carry less! Because JP Morgan has accused its massive loss on an activity called "coverage" – supposed therefore limit the risks taken by the bank, the kind of jobs that financial institutions want to continue in the future and they refuse to qualify speculative activities

.

What happened to JP Morgan will undoubtedly also affect Europe. The Old Continent is currently considering adopting its own "Volcker rule". A group of experts work on the matter at the request of the European Commission. Francois Hollande and included in its program a law of separation of banking activities. Jamie Dimon is in spite of himself to bring water to his mill.

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Global consumption of wine is finding colors in 2011. It increases from 0.7% to 241.9 million hectoliters (hl). She stopped and started a downward cycle since 2007. "It seems that the worst is behind us. This does not mean that an immediate return to pre-crisis growth is confirmed, relativizes Federico Castellucci, Director General of the International Organisation of Vine and Wine (OIV). In addition to unfavorable economic factors, changes in consumption patterns continue to see recovery in the major producing countries, such as the EU. "Indeed, European consumers now favor quality over quantity. This, however, are the Americans and Chinese who support sales.

47.4 liters per capita in France

In detail, the world's largest market, that is to say the EU wine consumption fell by nearly one million hectoliters last year, mainly due to degradation economic conditions in countries of this area and a change in customer behavior. Italian consumption shows a sharp decline of around 1.6 million hl (- 6.3%), as Spain and Britain, but to a lesser extent. Germany, meanwhile, has stagnated.

Only exception in this bleak picture: French consumption increases significantly (3.5%), almost 30 million hl. This increase is explained by massive purchases of wine last year on French territory by foreign tourists. But the OIV can not be quantified precisely. Single index, consumption rises officially in France to 47.4 liters per capita. Net purchases of tourism, it would be some 40 liters per person, a level close to that of Italy to 37.4 liters.

French cognac and champagne appreciated

For their part, the United States, second world market volume, estimated to have grown 0.9 hl (nearly triple the 2009 and 2010) and 28.5 Mhl approach. Americans like French cognac and champagne. Example: for the Charente house Courvoisier, "remains our largest market outside the U.S. where we sell 48.5 million bottles of brandy a year, or nearly 30% of our annual exports," said its president, Patrick Pinet.

China also exports have increased with the increasing popularity of a population easier for wine products. "Since 2001, exports of French wine and spirits increased by 3700%, three quarters of which relate to the claret and brandy," says Nicolas Ozanam, Delegate General for CFTS (Federations of exports of wines and spirits).

Result, world trade in wine in 2011 reached over $ 103.5 million hl, up 7.9%.

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With rent "premium" (neighborhood prestige) set to 1 255 € / m² / year, Central London (West End, Midtown, City and Docklands) still holds the record for the most expensive place in Europe. Despite a decline in business, the rent "premium" has continued to increase throughout the year because of the shortage of Class A surfaces in the West End and Midtown particular. "This market has been driven by the technology sector, media, telecommunications and accounting firms," ​​says Dan Bayley, Director General for Central London at BNP Paribas Real Estate. The City has a lower rating but if we judge by the latest transaction carried out at 710 € / m² / year in the Leadenhall Building on 17,652 sqm leased by Aon, the insurance brokerage firm and reinsurance.  

Geneva on the top rent is € 818 / m² / year in a market but only on narrow 35 000 m² of offices.

Central Paris arrives in BNP Paribas Real Estate ranked third with an average premium value of 810 € / m² / year, sometimes exceeded in the seventh district, which is now part of Paris CBD (Central Business District).

Moscow climbed to fourth place with a rent of 544 € / m² / year in the downtown core that can reach 800 € / m². Conversely, on some streets listed under the rent reduction: Leningradskoe on Higway, 39, Olympia Park in the building, nearly 30,000 sqm were leased by Kaspersky Lab to 465 € / m² / year flexcheck cash advance.

Milan keeps fifth place at 520 € / m² / year, posting a stable rents despite an increase in transactions of almost 10%. The five other cities do not cross the threshold of € 500 / m² / year. Stockholm, however, comes close with a rent premium of 484 € / m² / year after rising nearly 13% in one year, closely followed by Luxembourg at 480 € / year / m increase of 5.3% …. ….

With 432 € / m² / year, Frankfurt is still the first German city in rental value and activity despite an increase in rents of just 3% and stability of transactions.

Rome maintains its 420 € / m² / year for almost two years despite a fall, this year 12% of its activity. It is also the only city in the Top Ten in not having increased in value during this period.

Munich comes in tenth position to 396 € / m² / year. "The city is experiencing strong growth, which reflects on the office property. Rents have jumped 10% in a year in take-up has almost doubled in one year, from 599,000 m² to 883,000 m², "said Piotr Bienkowski, Executive Chairman of BNP Paribas Real Estate Germany.

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For the third consecutive month, foreign direct investment in China fell in January, dropping 0.3% over one year to 10 billion. "The situation in foreign investment is relatively poor," was concerned the spokesman for the Chinese Ministry of Commerce, Shen Danyang, during a press conference Thursday.

"The uncertainties surrounding the global economy continue to grow, the restructuring of global industry slows, and growth of foreign direct investment is low everywhere," he said adding that the slowdown Growth in China – to 8.4% in 2012, against 9.2% last year according to analysts – also had an impact on foreign investment in the country.

Other negative effects on investment: the multiplication of social conflicts in several factories in recent months and rising production costs, particularly related to higher wages. 

According to a study released Wednesday by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai, over 90% of the 300 companies surveyed said that "rising costs of labor and materials are a serious blow to business and challenge the competitive advantages of China ".

Construction of Shanghai Disneyland

The vast majority of foreign direct investment in China come from East Asia-Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong and ASEAN countries-, up 0 saving account payday loan.8% yoy, to $ 8.6 billion .

Investment from the U.S. rose 29% to $ 342 million – partly because "the arrival of capital for the construction of Shanghai Disneyland, whose work began last year," said Shen Danyang. 

Those from Europe for their part, fell sharply from 42.5% to $ 452 million, compared to January 2010, European companies, leaded by the debt crisis, have drastically reduced their spending.

According to Hervé Lievore, economist at AXA Investment Managers in Hong Kong, "the prudence of European companies is hardly surprising when financing conditions deteriorate in Europe." For Ting Lu, economist at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch in Hong Kong, this decline in investment should be temporary predicting "a massive return of investors attracted by the exceptional growth rates in China as soon as the global economy stabilizes" .

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The draft budget for Social Security in 2012 began his career tonight in the Chamber of the Assembly. The text provides € 17.6 billion deficit of the general system (Old Age Solidarity Fund included), after 22 billion this year and 28 billion in 2010.

The examination of the text in the Committee gave an idea of ​​the issues that should be hotly debated in the majority, and amendments likely. The major themes: the subjugation of parental leave benefits (CLCA) to the CSG, the reduction in benefits for loss of work and the fight against fraud.

On this point, several amendments of the UMP Dominique Tian were approved by the Committee on Social Affairs. "I support and I ask the group to vote, says the boss of UMP deputies, Christian Jacob.They stem from the report of the assessment mission and control of social security (MECSS), adopted unanimously, "left and right confused.

The first is to redefine the concept of "single person", which comes into play in the payment of benefits as the single parent allowance (API, now part of RSA). "That is to reverse the burden of proof. Anyone applying for the allocation should show that it is only to take on household expenses: rent, electricity, etc.. "

Another measure supported by Christian Jacob, the suspension of all benefits in the event of obtaining a number Safely from forged identity documents."Credit unions did not have that opportunity, which of course added to criminal sanctions," said the president of the UMP group.

Recalculation of benefits sick

Former Minister for Family, Christian Jacob is also aligned with the Committee on Social Affairs to refuse to submit to the 6 payday loans.2% CSG few hundred euros a month if paid parental leave. The measure, sought by the government, must report 140 million per year.

Another controversial issue up within the majority: the new method of calculating sick leave benefits, which reduces the amount of about 6% to a gain of 220 million.The issue will be discussed at today's meeting of the UMP group.

Additional tools to fight against fraud they relate enough to give these provisions without widening the deficit? Yves Bur questioned, at least in the short term, these tools put the time to bear fruit.

"The fraud MECSS evaluates the single parent allowance in the range from 160 to 300 million euros a year, and those arising from forgery to 1.3 billion, said Christian Jacob. By definition, quantify the extent of fraud is difficult and estimates are wide.But it is important symbolically, when efforts are required from all the French, to hit hard on fraud. "

Yves Bur adds other proposals to generate more savings: lower third of the threshold for taxation of benefits breach of contract work (out of court for dismissal …) to 72,700 euros, or launch tenders for the supply of generic drugs and drive down the price as well. He hopes to gain large enough to give up the measure on sick leave … while fearing that the government, looking for additional savings, retains all final.

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The debt crisis that shook the euro area, the French deep mine. This is for 79% of them, the crisis "the worst" in recent years, according to a poll Ifop for the Journal du Dimanche. Faced with the economic and social situation of France, 53% of respondents said they were "rebels," while 29% are "resigned." A resignation which probably explains why the movement of "outraged" that began in Spain last spring and has spread across Europe and to the United States, failed to France.

The French are indeed very pessimistic. Only 4% of them believe in a crisis within the next six months. Nearly a majority (46%), however, do not expect improvement until 2014. "This survey highlights the malaise of the French," said Frederic Dabi, director of the division of opinion Ifop."For them, this is a serious crisis which they do not see the exit and on which policies can not be weighed." However, they are preparing for 57% of the "painful and difficult measures." They are also willing to make sacrifices, including cutting costs in their "comfort" and in their holiday budget, the study said.

When asked about the causes of the crisis, 52% of French people point the finger at the role of financial markets. Far behind, the government (26%), banks (15%), EU (10%), the French as a whole (6%), emerging (5%) and businesses (1%) are also considered partially responsible for the current crisis. "Paradoxically, while their commitment to the EU is often tenuous, the French for more Europe," Frederic Dabi analysis.As proof, they say they support the creation of a European Ministry of Economy.

Theme of the presidential election

As European leaders gather in Brussels on Sunday for a coordinated response to the crisis, the French have already an idea of ​​what the state could do 63% of them believe the government should take an interest in banks, either by becoming the majority shareholder of the establishment or nationalization. Despite their concern, 23% of respondents would prefer the state to intervene simply abstain. Maybe they think that the French economy can only suffer, as the government prepares to revise downwards its growth forecast for 2012 still set at 1.75%."Part of the public continues to believe that when dealing with Greece, it does not deal with French," says Pierre Giacometti, advisor opinion of the President of the Republic, in the columns of world.

Yet a few months before the presidential election, the crisis in the euro area will be the theme of the campaign. Nicolas Sarkozy will speak on the subject on television next Thursday, the day after the second EU summit is to say, once firm decisions have been taken. A key event with the French, while the popularity of the president is at half mast. "Even if the credits of some courage, nothing will be counted as long as there is a lack of visibility on the crisis," Pierre Giacometti analysis in Le Monde.

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Many companies have awarded the famous "dividend premium against" backwards. And in fact, the amounts paid are far from the expectations of the government, says a study by Deloitte from the first returns of negotiations in companies. As Labour Minister, Xavier Bertrand, was on the table before the payment of a premium of 700 euros per employee in companies that have paid dividends on the rise, the real turn around more than 300 euros. As for the maximum amount paid, it tops out at 600 euros.

Two reasons. The first is that the premium desired by Nicolas Sarkozy to "restore the purchasing power of employees in times of recovery," has been perceived by most companies as an additional constraint than an opportunity to motivate their troops.The premium has indeed added to the devices sharing the existing value, such as profit-sharing, mandatory for companies with over 50 employees who make a profit. "This is even more disturbing that the incentive for the prisoner has recently been tightened," says Emmanuelle Rivez-Domont, a lawyer in employment law at the firm Jones Day.

The other factor is the economic context. "Uncertainty room makes companies cautious," says Philippe Burger, a partner at Deloitte. The evolution of the economic situation is also evident throughout the negotiations. "Before the trouble was and he threw in the financial markets, companies thought given bonuses of around 500-600 euros. Today, the discussions revolve more around 150 euros to 200 euros per employee, "says Philip Burger.The crisis reduced the premium to a trickle.

Wage increases slightly affected

Some companies, such as Rhodia, were more generous than others. But it should not enjoy these raw numbers, without putting them in connection with the incentive policy, participation or wage increase of the company, the consultant warns. "Some companies had the tools to share value added very generous, and that worked well. Explain what they have paid premiums less important, "said he.

The study also brings its share of surprises. The dividend premium against does not seem to negatively impacted as wages were concerned that the trade unions. While most companies recognize that its influence is not neutral, only 10% of them say they have reduced the envelope increases the amount of the premium.And they are more than 60% to estimate its impact on wages has been small.

Companies have until 31 October to agree on the amount of the premium, or they are liable to criminal sanction. Evidence that firms do not rush, only one in two has already ended its negotiations on the subject. "Given the mandatory nature of these discussions, and urgency, companies are simple, says the consultant. They also generally a fixed amount equal to each employee. But if the premium is sustained, they could eventually refine their criteria for distribution. "

The market decline occurred in August and September did go up in smoke the equivalent of 216 billion euros over the market value of CAC 40 companies since January 1. During the one day of 22 September, falling 5.25% of the benchmark index of the Paris Stock Exchange has removed 40 billion euros, as much as the market capitalization of the size groups of EDF and L'Oreal!

Today, all forty major French companies weighed on the stock exchange the equivalent of 794 billion euros no fax cash advances. This figure may seem high to the uninitiated, but it is actually little more than the book value of assets of companies entering the CAC 40.The fall in prices has reached such proportions that the largest industrial groups in the rating on the stock exchange deal at the price of factories, stocks of goods or land on which are built warehouses or stores.

The French have never been so pessimistic. A new study paints a bleak picture of the mindset of our citizens. A 88%, they are worried about the situation of their country. A 76%, they are also for their personal situation. "The opinion wins on several subjects, as if the French were more likely to want to stay out of the system," said Vincent Leclabart, head of the agency Australia and sponsor of a survey by TNS Sofres on the relationship between advertising and society.

"We are increasingly optimistic that the country itself," said Emmanuel Rivière, director of strategy at TNS Sofres opinion. But here, the curves converge dangerously pessimistic. The "pessimistic" and "pessimistic" for their personal circumstances have never been numerous. There have been two peaks in the past decade.In 2005, after the "no" to the referendum on the European Constitutional Treaty, and in 2008, due to post-election disillusionment. But after the fall of Lehman Brothers in September 2008, the financial crisis has clouded the picture further. This did not stop to think the French in 2009, consciously or not, the worst was over. They began to hope again. Only the current crisis of debt, at a time when unemployment rises and where growth vanishes, again plunging morale.

The study lists four stalls. In addition to the pessimism, the French won by a malaise that affects both their purchasing power and their relationship to politics and marketing. "The urge to spend is progressing, but the means are lacking, creating a frustration," said Vincent Leclabart. 56% of French people say and do not earn enough to live as they wish.Worse, four out of ten live hard and 27% admitted to frequently or permanently deprived for financial reasons.

63% indifferent and phobia

"These numbers are very important for a developed country, says Vincent Leclabart. A section of the population picks seriously. "This, in a few months of democratic maturity important for the country. But for the French political life is still boring to 42%. And they do not trust politicians to redress France.

In their world of consumption as the French drop. For the first time since the inception of the study eight years ago, the indifferent and opposed to the model "consummatory" the majority (63%). If love remains stable for brands, consumers believe that companies run to them and not their customers."It's about relationship, not product quality," says Vincent Leclabart. The French judge brands more invasive and less entertaining or convincing. Harshest techniques marketing are those who no longer want to spend, even if they can afford. A quarter of French would be disillusioned and when the poor are themselves the "unsubscribe", living hard and having more desire. The study concluded that "policies and brands do not seem to have changed relational mode. At a time when everyone theoretically has the means to express themselves, the opposite is often felt. "