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In the wake of the Asian stock markets, down sharply Tuesday morning despite a slight improvement at the end, the financial center of Paris does not know how to behave on Tuesday … Faced with fears of economic recovery and the financial situation of countries, the Paris index is in fact the yo-yo since the opening, from a technical rebound in early trading, a new panic attacks (-3 , 08%), 1:30 after the opening. The Paris index is even pressed for less than a minute to below 3000 points, a threshold that had not crossed since July 13, 2009. This excitement is not surprising, the magnitude of the losses yesterday on Wall Street (close to 600 points for the Dow, or 5.5% decrease) who confirmed the complete absence of calm in the markets.

The Cac 40 started his session on a net increase of more than 2%, to 3188.27 points …before declining (-3.35% to 3020.46 points at 10:45). Shared a tendency in Europe: Frankfurt, after opening down, quickly moved into the green before sinking to 3.01% at 5745 points. In Madrid, the Ibex 35 also passes into the red in 10 hours (-1.67% to 8318.30 points). Only the London remained in the red since the opening (-2.75% to 4929.54 points).

Pic of volatility

This new session, that of all the dangers after Black Monday in the markets, not immune to the extreme nervousness of investors. With a drop of 18% of the index in Paris in eleven sessions, the CAC 40 lost again yesterday his record consecutive bearish sessions.In addition, the volatility (the highest for two and a half years as the VIX (16.7%), shows that investors are not convinced by measures taken in Europe and the United States for fiscal consolidation and boost growth.

Even the 2 billion euros pledged by the European Central Bank (ECB) on Monday to buy back bonds in Italy and Spain, have yielded only very temporarily a little breath on the markets. According to a consensus of managers interviewed by Reuters, the institution should indeed buy at least 100 billion of sovereign debt in Spain and Italy to strengthen the euro area and reduce the pressure on the markets.However, the relaxation on the 10-year rates of the two countries is continuing this morning, those of Spain from below 5%, while those in Italy were approaching that threshold.

Moreover, the lack of effect on the markets of the intervention of U.S. President Barack Obama reveals that political speech has no impact on investors, beyond the break-off. This has not prevented the U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, to find that governments and central banks, have "largely on the margin" to address the crisis. European side, the statements are also increasing, Jean-Claude Trichet, ECB president, on Tuesday called on governments to "do their job" and put in place as soon as possible bailout of Greece, adopted on 21 July.

Policy responses are not sufficient to calm the

Is it possible? Hard to say, as investor psychology seems to look for a disability policy to find new tools to address the current crisis. For two weeks, no action relieves durablementles markets and break the vicious circle in which is immersed the Paris index. From this point of view, no new ones are expected at the meeting on the macroeconomic front.

The eyes are still turned to the United States, where the Monetary Policy Committee of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will hold a highly anticipated meeting this afternoon to decide on measures against the risk of a further slowdown in growth. The conclusions of this meeting, however, should not be made public until 20:15, Paris time, and will therefore not affect the European markets.

Investors console themselves with the publication at 14.30 on U.S. productivity figures for the second quarter, which could give a little more on the state of the world's largest economy. In this dark period, is good news also came on the morning of the Budget Ministry, which reported just before a stock market stabilization French public deficit at the end of June, to 61.3 billion euros. At noon will also be released by INSEE oil prices and imported materials for July. For its part the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will release its monthly report.

The barrel still under pressure

A report should be carefully watched, the price of oil is very strong pressure for 15 days, reflecting the downward revision of demand forecasts. A decline which continued Tuesday, but less than the opening.In electronic trading in Asia, the "light sweet crude" for dropped below 80 dollars (77.78 dollars in mid-day in Asia, 7 pm, Paris time), while Brent crude was down the floor of 100 dollars to 101.04 dollars back then.

As for the exchange, finally, the single European currency regained color against the greenback until the Fed meeting tonight, the euro climbed to 1.4234 dollars at 8 o'clock, against 1.4179 late Monday. Note that the face of these uncertainties, gold enjoys full status as a safe haven, record after record signing. The ounce finished on a further rise Tuesday in Hong Kong dollars to 1753.50, after hitting a new record for the session at 1772.09 dollars.

Side analysts, speeches remain cautious, noting that "the large volumes show that we are not in a sluggish market, typical of the holiday, but in a situation of significant liquidations of positions, as and as the traders confidence evaporates, "according to Jonathan at Capital Spreads Sudaria.

The side of values ​​to follow:

Financial stocks limited case (BNP Paribas was down 1.08% to 38.88 euros, Societe Generale down 1.27% to 24.80 euros and Credit Agricole lost 0.28% to 6.73 euros). In turn Natixis (1.28% to 2.93 euros) and Axa (0.82% to 11.08 euros) came to stay in the green.Faced with the sharp fall in equity markets, the Financial Markets Authority (AMF) did not consider it unnecessary at this stage to ban short selling in these securities, said Monday a spokesman for the regulator stock.

GDF Suez (-1.82% to 19.46 euros). the group has reached an agreement with the Chinese sovereign wealth fund CIC. Beijing will take a pole in its exploration and production investments and participate in the French group in Asia Pacific, told Reuters on Monday sources familiar with the matter.

Archos (-16.23% to 6.09 euros). The specialist tablets unveiled Monday a net profit after market semi-annual 1.7 million euros against a loss a year earlier.The group also confirmed its objective of a gross margin above 20% for the full year.

Euro Disney (0.60% to 5 euros) has been little state, shortly before the opening of the Exchange, an increase of 7% of its quarterly revenue (T3), to 344 million euros and announced an increase in spending per visitor.

In launching his new business tuna in the Indian Ocean in 2007, Yannick Lauri, president of Sapmer rubbed to a less pleasing to fishing in Seychelles waters: the fight against piracy. Used to fight against illegal fishing in the Southern Ocean, its historical business, the second French fishing vessel owner must now deal with direct attacks against ships, conducted off the coast of Somalia, Kenya and Tanzania. "A real paramilitary organization," also describes the leader, the tuna-freezer Franche-Terre foiled a pirate attack in 2010.

To avoid being faced with demands for ransom of up to tens of millions of euros, the group has had to adapt.After the first fishing season in September 2009 carried out without any protection, fleet Sapmer has adopted a "for the protection of its crews, under the strong incentive of the state," explains Yannick Lauri. The measures are rather restrictive and expensive …. The obligation to "binômage" (navigation of ships by two, alternating with fishing time) in effect reduces the effective time fishing and limits the free movement of ships. "Especially since we had to navigate a given speed, which has a significant effect on fuel consumption." This obligation has been reduced on June 1, but could be reconsidered in case of renewed attacks.

Insurers ship their bets

But the effect on fishing in itself is a first illustration of the additional costs incurred by piracy.Faced with these increased risks, insurers have been quick to react. "The coverage of these risks represent 10% of our insurance for our tuna fleet, about 75,000 euros for our fleet of three tuna," said Yannick Lauri.

Finally, a report by the Institute of Higher National Defence Studies (IHEDN) which participated Sapmer, released in June, estimates that several hundred thousand euros a year ship the additional security measures.

This cost may seem exorbitant, but due to the requirement for owners to use the personal protection of their ships. Cost is in addition to the measures on navigation, and insurance-costs. For example, Arnoult Gauthier, president of sales VNavy benefits of private military companies (PMCs) from 4000 to 9000 dollars (2800 to 6200 euros) per day per boat.For the heavier the device includes boarding protection teams on boats.

Armed men on board for the protection of marine

For shipowners flying the French flag as Sapmer, these are men from the bodies of state (marine commandos, marines, etc.). Who come to protect the crew. Five armed men complement the 33 sailors present on each of the three tuna of the group. Considering that their vigilance decreases after six weeks, the state imposes, by that time, a return to earth for five days of rest before returning to sea This is not consistent with the ten weeks during a campaign fishing, and induced costs of accommodation and logistics for tracking weapons.

If the teams are state bodies, is financially Sapmer "put to work" for the care of these men.Yannick Lauri, which does not specify the percentage of participation, while acknowledging the nature of effective protection measures by professionals.

To a use of private protection?

As for use of private companies, "this device is not yet approved for vessels under the French flag, although discussions are ongoing, and there is some legal uncertainty on the issue." Currently, MPI experiments with private companies to protect the devices that need to be as effective as the protection of embedded military teams, but technically lighter. But for now, no alternative "has not yet developed," says Yannick Lauri.

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Carrefour and its major shareholders still have progress to make to master the subtleties of samba. The merger of the Brazilian subsidiary of global distributor with the second casino, Grupo Pao de Acucar (GPA), is abandoned.

Scaffold for months in the back of its local partner Casino Abilio Diniz (President and owner of 21% of GPA), with the support of BNDES, the Brazilian equivalent of the Deposit, the project would have allowed Crossroads take control of all activities involving the two Brazilian groups. The company, known as Pao de Acucar Novo, would have made 30 billion euros in sales and held 32.3% of the local market, against 11.1% for the U.S. WalMart.

Las.Faced with fierce opposition from Casino, which supports the development of this project is contrary to the shareholders' agreement binding Abilio Diniz, BNDES announced its withdrawal on the night of Tuesday to Wednesday. While Diniz seeks private investors to substitute for Brazilian BNDES, he lost some of its political support.

This halted the project is mostly a failure for Carrefour, which had the most to gain. The group chose to take advantage of the disagreement between Diniz and Casino to join in a risky project, rather than seeing the Brazilian partner with WalMart. If successful, Carrefour could forget his many disappointments. The group is not out of a serious area of ​​turbulence in its domestic market, putting pressure on its outstanding CEO Lars Olofsson and its principal shareholders, Groupe Arnault and Colony Capital payday advance lenders.The latter, entered the capital of the retailer in March 2007, when the action was worth 53 euros, have increased the project, or attempted to bounce the stock price, which dropped by half since: sale of Brazilian and Chinese subsidiaries , public offerings of real estate branch, split Dia. In vain.

Brazil lost the battle has also cast a cruel light on the performance of Carrefour in the country, its first growth opportunities ahead of China. Abilio Diniz revealed that the operating profitability of Carrefour Brazil was 1%, seven times less than that of GPA. Casino and pointed the loss of market share of hypermarkets in Brazil, for the benefit of supermarkets and convenience stores.If its chain of wholesale stores Atacadao is a success, Carrefour, local leader, sees its hypermarkets suffer against those of Extra, a subsidiary of ABM.

Overconfidence

After 550 million of provisions recorded by Carrefour last year as a result of accounting fraud at its Brazilian subsidiary, the latter saw his image tarnished again. The withdrawal of the BNDES also shows that Carrefour had underestimated the political power relations in Brazil, or too trusted Abilio Diniz …

If new proposed combination with GPA must be submitted to the board of Carrefour in the coming months, it would still be opposed to casino, and no political support in Brazil. This time, the independent directors of Carrefour might well make their voices heard.

Europe is gaining time, but did not extinguish the fire in Greece. Following a conference call Saturday, finance ministers of the euro area have given the green light to release "by July 15" 8.7 billion euros in loans that should add 3.3 billion paid out by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This decision was expected after the adoption this week by the Greek Parliament of the austerity program imposed by his European creditors. "It (the decision) strengthens the international credibility of Greece", immediately congratulated the Greek finance minister, Evangelos Venizelos.

As the new Executive Director of the IMF, Christine Lagarde, to take office Tuesday, the organization welcomed the developments."We welcome the commitment of the Eurogroup to a funding strategy that ensures that the Greek economic program is fully insured," said the spokesman for the IMF, Caroline Atkinson. No details however were given about a possible date on which the Board could meet to release the funds.

Berlin puts pressure

If these 12 billion euros to Greece should avoid going bankrupt in the short term, it is not enough to save the country permanently and fully reassure the financial markets. For this, the country has called for a second bailout International 110 billion euros. Finance ministers of the euro zone have promised yesterday decisions "in the coming weeks." For its part, the German finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, more prudent, spoke of an agreement by the fall only.Berlin looks indeed to be certain that Greece implement austerity measures quickly that the country has promised. "After the release of the fifth installment of the countries of the euro area and the IMF, the next step must be addressed decisively: the measures passed in Athens should be implemented quickly. Privatization, for example, must be launched without delay, "responded the German Minister of Finance. Response of Athens: the austerity plan of 28.4 billion euros will be implemented before mid-September.

Ireland, Portugal, Italy and Spain could knock on the door

These two months of rest should also help to advance on a second rescue plan 110 billion euros. Finance ministers of the euro area have not spoken on this subject last night.They expect to clarify the private sector, banks and other creditors, imposed by Berlin to a new plan to help decide. "The details and extent of the involvement of private and official sources of additional funding will be determined in the coming weeks," they said.

Time is running out: Ireland and Portugal may need a new international aid. As for Spain and Italy, both countries are under pressure from rating agencies. "The failure of European political leaders to resolve the crisis quickly and decisively hits the rest of the euro area," says Ben May, economist at Capital Economics. The United States pressed more in Europe to solve its debt problems to avoid a global impact."If Greece fell deeper into recession following the new austerity measures, it could reduce the willingness of governments to implement additional fiscal measures," says Ben May.

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While the crucial talks between government and private creditors of Greece continued the last few hours across Europe, they rose sharply in Paris. Reportedly, the French Treasury and financial institutions have agreed on the night of Friday to Saturday on a proposal that they hope to win their European partners now. Important first step, a highly anticipated meeting of the IIR (International Institute of Finance), which groups 400 banks worldwide, will be held on Monday in Rome.

It will be remembered, European governments have launched negotiations Wednesday with the holders of Greek debt. They are seeking a contribution of banks, insurers and other pension funds to the tune of 30 billion euros, backed by a new extension of Europe and the IMF to Greece.So far, the proposal on the table was simple: the voluntary, private creditors agreed to reinvest in due proportion the debts repaid by Athens over the next three years in new loans Greek to 5 years. It is the "rollover". However, private capital, especially German, had requested that these new loans are guaranteed in one way or another by Europe. But Angela Merkel, German Chancellor, refused this demand, which is to transfer the responsibility of the public an additional part of the burden.

Hence the impasse. The problem for private financiers, is to pay a state that nothing says it will be out of trouble in five years, the plan has expired. Of course, under pressure from governments, banks and insurers could be convinced.But specifically, if the process is not perceived as voluntary, rating agencies may raise the flag of the "default" and the plan falls overboard because the ECB can no longer accept sovereign debt and stigmatized in the refinancing of Greek banks cash advance no fax.The French proposal is a parade, making the "rollover" both more attractive and relevant to them and to Athens, by lengthening maturities.

New loans to 30 years

In addition to the original proposal, a working group led by BNP Paribas, in fact, imagined an alternative, opening the opportunity to reinvest only 70% of amounts received in connection with the Greek borrowing fell 50% are allocated to Greek new loans issued this time in 30 years as to 20%, they are placed on what the financial call a "zero coupon", ie a fund invested in securities of high quality self-reinforcing through then cumulation of interests: the piggy bank somehow secures new borrowing Greek, as would have government guarantees.According to the discussions, these borrowings could be long carry an interest rate equivalent to that of Greece pays vis-à-vis its "rescuers" public, with the addition of a variable interest rate likely to be linked to an economic indicator Greek, such as GDP.

In any case, this alternative would yield less per creditor only 50% returned to the Treasury Greek but is likely to attract more people. And above all, by providing funding for 30 years, she pushes the horizon in part refunds for Athens. The French solution began circulating in the corridors of the European Council on Friday. "We received an initial favorable response," says a close case.

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"I walk in the countryside." Thus, Christine Lagarde, finance minister and declared candidate for the post of Director of the IMF, began his speech on Europe 1 radio on Sunday. Its stated goal: to convince all the emerging countries of the legitimacy of his candidacy. "These countries are worried. They want recognition and they feel frustration. They want a manager with universal and that is why I will introduce myself, "she said.

The minister will travel first to Brazil "because it is the first country invited me," she says. She will then visit the 'all emerging countries, notably China, India, some countries in Africa and the Middle East. Which will require it in his words to "make a lot of extra hour" because this campaign is done in conjunction with its agenda of Minister of Finance.While emphasizing the concept of universality, Christine Lagarde says she remains "deeply French and European. But in the context of these functions, you must be accountable to all of these 187 member countries. "

No fears for the record Tapie

Even if she repeats that "we should not count your chickens before they're hatched," the minister made a speech very assured, aware of the many clear support of the Europeans and Americans implied. "If I am elected, she says, I will leave the government because the two functions are incompatible." Asked about the name of his successor, the Minister nevertheless kicked into touch: "It's not for me to decide, but we have in our ranks many talents."

Christine Lagarde has also lingered long on the back Tapie, only shadow seemed to hover over his candidacy. "The file is empty," she repeated.She said the referral to the Court of Justice of the Republic by the Attorney General at the Court of Cassation, Jean-Louis Nadal, "is factually false and legally unfounded." "I chose the solution of arbitration in the case because I believed that Tapie was the least bad. A conviction was run a risk of 7 billion euros to the state. " For the future, the finance minister said to "really good confidence in the judiciary" and says she has "conscience".

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The crossing record fuel prices on record. Last week, prices at the pump have again reached record levels in the hexagon, noted that Monday's Directorate General for Energy and Climate. A liter of unleaded 95 has coined 1.547 euro on average, a liter of super unleaded 98 1.585 euro. Unheard of in living memory motorist. Fortunately, the price of diesel fuel – the most consumed – has however declined slightly last week, to 1.36 euro per liter. It remains for now below its 2008 record, when it exceeded 1.45 euros.

Prices at the pump in fact suffer from a barrel of oil costing has soared since the advent of revolutions in the Middle East. The price of Brent crude in London was quoted on Monday by $ 125.9 per barrel, when it cost just $ 95 in January (+32.5%).Therefore, INSEE memo in its last publication on inflation, the cost of petroleum products surged nearly 20% in March over a year.

The 2-liter of super €

To offset these price increases that weigh heavily on household budgets, the government announced in April the increase of 4.6% flat rate mileage. A tax measure that will ease the bill for some six million taxpayers who use their cars to work, then the estimated Economy Minister Christine Lagarde. Oil companies will contribute about the financing of the new measure to 115 million euros.

Consumer associations have been skeptical, however. "This is a drop in an ocean of expectation," lamented the UFC-Que Choisir.Increased dissatisfaction with grim outlook for consumers: in an interview in Paris, Total's CEO Christophe de Margerie had clearly drawn the trend. "The Super 2 €, there is no doubt," he said. The real question is when. "

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While the Arab riots continue, the World Bank has sounded the alarm. In Washington, facing the 24 countries that make up the International Monetary and Financial Committee (IMFC) responsible for setting broad policy guidelines of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the institution said that "a worsening of conditions in the Middle East and North Africa could derail global growth. "

It considers in particular that "if oil prices were to rise sharply and permanently, whether due to growing uncertainty or a significant disruption of oil production, global growth could slow by 0.3 percentage point in 2011 and 1.2 points in 2012.The World Bank said that volatility in oil prices and agricultural products had been "even higher" than usual in recent weeks.

"Act Now"

The World Bank has, however, tried to reassure his interlocutors: currently, the impact is limited to local economies themselves. The revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt for example cut the growth of both countries about three percentage points in 2011, compared to what was planned three months ago. "The growth in Egypt and Tunisia should be about 2.5% and 1.5% respectively," says the Bank.A very inadequate compared to their population growth in a context of energy prices and food costs.

Internationally, the economic disruption, "if they remained at this stage, should have limited impact globally," said the World Bank. Its president Robert Zoellick, however, urged the international community to act now. "Wait until the situation stabilizes, it will lose opportunities," he said

The IMF on the alert

The signal seems to have been well received by IMFC. Its 24 members and confirm that "the immediate economic impact of developments in some Middle East and North Africa require particular attention."The cards are distributed: the World Bank's objective to "strengthen its support" in these two areas and the IMF's role to conduct "economic evaluation" for an "action plan".

"Of course we stand ready to assist, on the side of technical assistance and funding on the slope," assured the IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said at a news conference. "The example of the Middle East has highlighted this issue, the fact that you can have good numbers in terms of sustainability without growth," he added. Remarks relayed by U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner: "Today, the change underway in the Middle East calls for rethink and refocus the commitment of the international community.These transitions involve ultimately the people, increase their opportunities and their freedom. "

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Household size, a key carbon balance of French households. According to the first survey of 2000 people by the Observatory of Carbon on the initiative of consulting firm Green Inside, smaller polluters are large families where CO2 emissions are "pooled." In these cases, we share its heating, washing his or her refrigerator. Conversely, "the home of a person are truly explode the level of CO2 emissions." Logically, retirees and younger people, who more often live alone and are among the worst performers of this panorama polluters.

Of course, other factors, less critical, are also considered. For example, more high income households consume more leisure, including transportation. Their carbon footprint is even more deteriorated.

The ideal city

Confirmation by another study: transport remains the position that weighs most heavily in the carbon footprint of French households (54%), far ahead of housing (30%) and food (22%). The use of personal vehicles dominates (79%) while the use of public transport and air travel, which vary depending on households and individuals, representing 1% and 19% carbon balance.

The Centre concludes that "the ideal city" could be between 100,000 and 200,000. Let cities large enough to provide a network of public transport alternative to the car, but smaller than the mega fond of air travel.Thirty French cities fall into this category, including Nancy, Caen, Orleans, Metz, Nimes, Grenoble, Saint-Etienne and Reims.

Intergenerational solidarity

From these findings, how can we reduce the carbon footprint of households? "To be effective, it seems appropriate to act primarily on transportation and housing," says the Observatory. Regarding transport, the study notes that "the potential of hybrid and electric vehicles is undeniable, even if it is still very moderate." 1% of respondents have already acquired and 22% intend to medium term."A figure that expresses perhaps more relevant to the type of vehicles that a genuine desire to acquire a medium-term," said the observatory.

Especially, for the authors of the survey should act on household size, "imagine the springs that could increase the sharing" of resources and goods. Foster roommates? Retirement homes? The lines of inquiry are being launched with an objective that the Centre recognizes "ambitious", "we began to see as the problem of intergenerational solidarity," a subject which go beyond those environmental concerns.

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"Our results are magnificent, it is a historic year for our group!" Tuesday, Vincent Bollore, CEO of the same name, do not sulk his pleasure at the publication of results of 2010. Overall, all lights are green and especially the profits which have been multiplied by three in one year to 358 million euros.

This performance is due to the growth of group activities (logistics, energy, media) and greatly to the share of profit of associates to the group that mounts alone, 200 million euros. More than half comes from a reversal of provisions on securities Havas, owned 32.9%, which must be added nearly a third of the group results of the pub, or about 35 million euros.The benefits of planting thousands of acres of palm and rubber trees in Asia and Africa, are also up to 45 million euros.

For this year, the big story of Bollore is the electric car. After a decade of investment in the development of a dry battery and the acquisition or construction of production facilities in Britain and Canada, 2011 is the year of launch.

Bollore starts in a few months of marketing to the general public of its electric car launches and especially BlueCar Autolib 'in Paris. This is a unique car-sharing system. In return for a subscription of 14 euros per month, the Bolloré Group will provide Parisians electric cars, equipped with a battery Bolloré and assembled in Italy by Pininfarina chains, leased 5 euros for half an hour.The group pledged to offer 250 BlueCar in October and 2000 in a year.

A great showcase

A race against time involving several divisions of the group is committed. The 6000 electrical terminals and communication will be provided by the subsidiary IER. Bolloré Telecom's in geolocation. Havas will be put to use for advertising. In addition, 1200 full-time employees are being hired. The annual operating costs of Autolib 'are evaluated at 60 million euros per year. From 30,000 users per day, the project is profitable.

The financial risk is far from negligible, but Autolib 'can become a great showcase for Bolloré. If successful, the technology could attract manufacturers that Renault and Nissan lead are betting on lithium-ion batteries called liquids.This technology has the major drawback of heat unlike the dry battery, ensures Vincent Bollore determined to demonstrate that its battery is best.

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