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"This crisis does not pay." One month after the birth of the movement of the "outraged" that has spread throughout the country, between 35,000 and 40,000 people, according to police, marched in Madrid against austerity. The crowd came in processions from all six districts of Madrid, gathered near the parliament in the center, opposite a row of blue gates and a dozen police vans blocking the road.

"Against unemployment. Organize yourself and fight. Let us march together against unemployment and capital, "proclaimed one of the great signs. "We are not commodities in the hands of politicians and bankers," said another banner in red letters.Under the slogans, demonstrators of all ages, families with strollers, young, unemployed and retired, came to testify of the same tired response to the crisis that is strangling the Spanish company.

Unemployment and corruption

Protesters targeted the Stability Pact in the euro area and its imperatives of fiscal discipline, politicians accused of corruption and not the voice of citizens, unemployment hitting 21.29% of the workforce in Spain, almost half the age of 25.

"We must prepare for a general strike 100% free credit score. We will paralyze this country, "said a speaker at the microphone."Banks and governments that have caused this situation should be aware that we do not agree with the measures and budget cuts, we intend to be heard, and that we will," assured the flat platform calling for demonstrations across Spain.

Broad popular support

Tuesday, June 13, the "outrage" had dismantled their camp from the Puerta del Sol in Madrid, a symbol of this wave of protest. Enjoying broad popular support, they now want to consolidate their movement through the neighborhood assemblies and other occasional events.

Other demonstrations were planned in the late afternoon on Sunday, including Barcelona and Valencia, and in several foreign cities, including Paris, where nearly 450 "outraged" gathered.

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"The mobilization of our companies abroad is a government priority, the development of employment is directly linked in a global economy, the part played by French companies in international trade." Tuesday, moving in Nièvre, the Head of State gave foreign trade on the front of the stage. Well aware of the situation in France, which saw its market share eroded internationally for years – "We have a deficit of 51 billion euros, Germany has a surplus of 150 billion," he recalled – the head of state still refuses to "fate."

Critical mass

Visiting one of the workshops of the French Company prosecutors, now trying to sell its products abroad, Nicolas Sarkozy has stressed the need to develop the network of SMEs in exports and develop "competitiveness".In fact, contrary to our German neighbor, who has forged a strong network of companies exporting medium, capable of responding to global demand, the difficulty in France have companies whose critical size would allow them to expand into international markets . Why we must build on the best of them. This is the new mission entrusted by the government to Ubifrance, the public agency responsible mainly for support SMEs in international markets. So far, it was only quantitative targets. Now the quality will also put "Ubifrance will be more selective and take more businesses that have real potential for export," says one at Bercy.The idea is that a third of SMEs that have benefited from support actually end up doing business abroad.

During a roundtable Cosne-Cours-sur-Loire on "the mobilization and support for companies in their efforts to export," Nicolas Sarkozy has also urged the national and local actors to support the export – the state Ubifrance, chambers of commerce, regions, etc personal loans for bad credit. .- to work together to create a "team". "It must stop wars chapel!" Repeats all goes as Secretary of State for Foreign Trade, Pierre Lellouche. The latter wants to develop a single window – export houses in the region – which SMEs could use to get their guidance.And they lost more in the maze of financing offers, Ubifrance and OSEO will Coface now offers a unique catalog.

As for large groups, they will increasingly play the card of solidarity with the smallest. On May 5, several of them have signed a charter pledging to always consult the French subcontractors for their export sales, develop the port of SMEs or to develop indicators to monitor the increased participation of French SMEs to large export contracts.

Underlying this policy – even if no rule can be written in black and white, because the European Commission monitors – the government intends to encourage groups to seek more French subcontractors if they want to continue receiving certain export subsidies.And "if necessary, we shall make …" nevertheless dared Tuesday the head of state "It does still not accuse France of wanting that big French companies help small. There is … citizenship in all this, "he said.

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"Possibly carcinogenic to humans' status is awarded yesterday evening to" Radiofrequency Electromagnetic Fields "- the waves emitted by mobile phones, awarded by a panel of expert agency of WHO The International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC, IARC or English). The idea of ​​the harmfulness of the use of mobile phones on health is not new. Despite this, the three largest telecom operators (Orange, SFR and Bouygues) simply take note of the announcement made by the CIRC. No specific communication operators is given for adapting to this trend of each idea. What efforts in research and development? Prevention? The questions remain unanswered.

The French Federation of Telecoms (FFT) is responsible to communicate to all stakeholders.In uncommuniqué published today, remember that the mobile operators' apply for several years, a precautionary approach by including headsets with each set of mobile phone, and informing users about precautions " as recommended by the Ministry of Health. Jean-Marie Danjou, Chief Operating Officer at Mobile College of TFF said that nearly 30 million copies of the information leaflet "my mobile and my health" from the government, have been distributed (in stores, boxes with bills …). He assured that the opinions expressed by the IARC and adopted by WHO will be added to information available on the websites of operators.In addition, a representative of the FFT points out that the headsets are present in the enclosures since 2003 in France, and mandatory under the law since last year.

Globally, the International Agency for wireless technologies (CTIA) moderates a strong opinion of the IARC said in a statement published yesterday that the published classification is based on a "limited evidence" small personal loans. It specifies that products such as pickled vegetables and coffee are in the same class as the wave of mobile, thus attempting to mitigate the strong confidence in the agency's statement of WHO. "The IARC classification does not mean that mobile phones cause cancer." Reads black and white in the statement of the CTIA.The GSM Association, which represents the interests of telecom operators worldwide, for its notes that "risk is possible but unlikely" while acknowledging that "some users may be concerned" and that publication of the IARC invites Further research on the long term.

A level of RF varies from mobile

Nevertheless, consumers can make the choice of vigilance in learning about the Specific Absorption Rate (SAR) of mobile they use. This is an index that measures the maximum level of radio frequency emitted by the phone to the user, measured in watts per kilogram. The maximum SAR authorized in France is 2 watts per kilogram. To equipment sold in France ranges from 0.3 to 1.417 watt per kilogram according to manufacturers and aircraft configurations.For example, the Samsung S Galaxy displays the lowest in SAR 0.23 W / kg while the Sony Ericsson X10 Mini Pro displays the highest SAR 1.61 W / kg. The Apple Iphone 4 presents meanwhile a SAR of 0.59 W / kg. Mobile vendors are bound by an obligation to display the national regulatory DAS of each model when they are sold. The consumer is therefore able to select a phone emitting the least possible spectrum. It can also simply call as much as possible in conditions of good reception, sms and focus away from the handset sensitive areas of the body during a call using the speakerphone.

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"I walk in the countryside." Thus, Christine Lagarde, finance minister and declared candidate for the post of Director of the IMF, began his speech on Europe 1 radio on Sunday. Its stated goal: to convince all the emerging countries of the legitimacy of his candidacy. "These countries are worried. They want recognition and they feel frustration. They want a manager with universal and that is why I will introduce myself, "she said.

The minister will travel first to Brazil "because it is the first country invited me," she says. She will then visit the 'all emerging countries, notably China, India, some countries in Africa and the Middle East. Which will require it in his words to "make a lot of extra hour" because this campaign is done in conjunction with its agenda of Minister of Finance.While emphasizing the concept of universality, Christine Lagarde says she remains "deeply French and European. But in the context of these functions, you must be accountable to all of these 187 member countries. "

No fears for the record Tapie

Even if she repeats that "we should not count your chickens before they're hatched," the minister made a speech very assured, aware of the many clear support of the Europeans and Americans implied. "If I am elected, she says, I will leave the government because the two functions are incompatible." Asked about the name of his successor, the Minister nevertheless kicked into touch: "It's not for me to decide, but we have in our ranks many talents."

Christine Lagarde has also lingered long on the back Tapie, only shadow seemed to hover over his candidacy. "The file is empty," she repeated.She said the referral to the Court of Justice of the Republic by the Attorney General at the Court of Cassation, Jean-Louis Nadal, "is factually false and legally unfounded." "I chose the solution of arbitration in the case because I believed that Tapie was the least bad. A conviction was run a risk of 7 billion euros to the state. " For the future, the finance minister said to "really good confidence in the judiciary" and says she has "conscience".

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It's definitely good news. Growth of 2011 has started on a flying, rising 1% in the first quarter, after the tiny increase of 0.3% in the last quarter of 2010, according to figures released Friday by the INSEE. Not only is it much better than what was expected, but it is also the best quarterly performance registered by France since 2006. You almost forget that the institute of statistics at the same time, lowered the growth figures for the previous three years!

The Economy Minister, Christine Lagarde, who blew the whistle on the previous evening, was immediately welcomed this figure, which confirms "that the French economy is set on a path of robust recovery."Jean-Francois Cope, secretary general of the UMP, for his part spoke of "excellent performance".

It must be said that, as the saying goes at Bercy, all the lights earlier this year are "green" to watching a few nuances in detail. Household consumption was slightly accelerated, rising 0.6% against 0.4% over the last three months of 2010. And proof that the expenses do not only with cars and the latest gaming effects of scrapping the service consumption rebounded sharply. Business investment has, meanwhile, performed well.

Click on the thumbnail to enlarge the graphic.

The institute noted however that the balance of trade "contributes negatively again" on GDP growth (-0.4 point), but that "this is more than offset" by changes in business inventories, which contribute positively to 0.7 percentage points to growth.

Industrial production finally jumped 3.4% and `show its strongest growth over the last thirty years," Christine Lagarde welcomes. Which does not specify that this rebound in industrial production is largely due to the production of refined products, which dates back strongly for technical reasons related to the correction of consequences "of social movements at the end of last year" in refineries , said Insee.

"A little less strong"

The Minister of Economy nevertheless acknowledged "very possible" that the second quarter "a little less strong.""One swallow does not make statistical economic spring," said, in his way, the number two PS, Harlem Desir.

For even if the number of start of the year is a reflection of economic situation improves, the pace may not continue. Rising raw material, exchange rate of the euro, higher inflation that continues in the purchasing power effect of stock-cons, or international situation deteriorates … So many reasons fear a slowdown in coming months .

Bercy, however, confirmed on Friday its growth forecast for 2011 to 2%. The goal now seems achievable because over for the current year is already 1.6%.Traditionally more pessimistic, the European Commission was asked to meet on Friday too, its growth forecast for the Hexagon, 1.7% to 1.8% over the year.

2008, 2009, two years of recession

Each year in May, INSEE revised the growth of the three previous years. This time, it's a bunch down! Growth in 2010 has not reached as planned 1.5% but 1.4%. The recession of 2009 was 2.6% and not 2.5%.But it is in 2008 that the difference is most significant: adjusted downwards by 0.3 percentage points, the year does not end on a growth of 0.1% as announced, but a decline in GDP of 0, 2%, according to Insee

Moreover, the institute has recalculated the slight increase in deficit (state, social security, local) of France in 2010 to 7.1% of GDP at year end as against 7% announced earlier.

As for the debt, it was 82.3%, instead of 81.7% predicted previously to 1 591.2 billion.

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Lefigaro.fr – The stock market crash experienced by the materials last week he requires investors to be more responsive?

Fabrice Cousté – We have entered a period in which electronic exchanges and automated to make faster and faster. This is not about to stop! Uncertainties about the euro and oil prices have created an appetite among investors for increasing trading currencies and commodities with a time horizon ranging from several days to a few seconds! Since early May, some hedge funds that had long positions in commodities and the euro came out massively causing a sharp drop of nearly ten dollars on oil. Meanwhile, the euro flirted with the $ 1.50 fell below the $ 1.45 and is now heading towards $ 1.40.These movements in raw materials could weigh on the CAC 40, including through lower oil stocks: Total, Technip and Vallourec.

What do you attribute the return of the volumes traded on the CAC 40 (six billion euro traded on average over the first two sessions of the week)?

These sessions illustrate the volatility of financial markets. And when I talk about financial markets, I do not take into account only the Paris stock exchange but also the Forex (currency market), which weighs 1000 times more than the CAC 40 (4000 billion dollars are traded daily on forex).

Is it out of raw materials?

The sharp drop ('sell off') shows that we are witnessing a situation of bubble that formed on certain assets (gold, silver, oil) and deflates even faster than many of the positions initiated at purchases were intended to hedge against a weakening greenback pronounced. This one covers the force, these positions are unwound or reversed, thus amplifying the plunge.

I would say that the recent plunge in oil is only a pause in a structural increase. I remain convinced that indeed the global economy is experiencing recovery, albeit slow, raw materials remain structurally high levels. Indeed, the double-digit growth in emerging countries may decrease, but these countries are on track for rapid expansion that will require more and more natural resources.We need to get used to the prospect of a sustained oil price at $ 100 a barrel and more in years to come. This new environment should promote market recovery for companies in "green business" (new energy, recycling, energy conservation).

What impact on portfolio management?

The sector rotations will be more frequent. In the short term we will also know where you have a new focus on defensive stocks such as telecoms and technology sectors expanding. As for values ​​that have real pricing power (the ability of firms to impose higher prices, Ed), the ability to pass the rising cost of raw materials in their products are preferable. This is where the champions of luxury such as LVMH and PPR values ​​but also with strong brands such as Danone and Essilor.

Conversely, investors should stay away from utilities and automobiles. Regarding the oil companies, I am negative court term and long-term positive. Good surprises are also possible for banks, but these are values ​​highly speculative and totally dependent on how the policies will manage the debt crisis of the Greek.

A more reactive wrong does not accentuate the lack of interest for individual stocks, considered a distribution medium or long term?

Today, it is true that individuals invest more to take risks but to protect themselves. They therefore turn to the massive gold or stone. The market environment has changed. It is uncertain therefore more complex to understand.But those who still believe the shares are able to adapt their trading, also passing through alternative platforms that will become the next referent of finance or by taking advantage of new business tools ("stop loss" orders intelligent programming strategy) that are available to them. Although the regulator wants to break the speed of trades and trading high frequency counter, it can not prevent the development of these platforms.

The Cac 40 barely exceed the 4200 points for three months. How do you explain it?

The revival of the Cac 40 depends mainly comeback banking shares. In view of its excellent results, BNP Paribas can return to a range between 70 and 75 euros and Societe Generale between 60 and 65 euros by the end of the year.The CAC 40 should not drop below 3800 points for corporate earnings in the first quarter are still excellent. Conversely, as the uncertainties regarding the recovery of Greece will not be lifted, the CAC 40 may not exceed the 4200 points.

The year 2011 began with disappointment for the departments. Any tax replacing the business tax is less profitable than expected. This is the contribution of value-added enterprises (CVAE), based on the value added generated annually by companies. Technically, the state, which has collected for the first time CVAE in 2010, will transfer to councils this year their share. So that elected officials can build their budgets, Bercy just sent to councils estimated income expected in 2011 CVAE. Knowing that this new tax contributes 15% of operating revenue departments.

Surprise, this estimate has proven often less simulations for the same revenue in 2011 conducted by Bercy in 2010, just months after the adoption of the reform."We do not yet have data from all departments but the trend is clear," they said in the Assembly of the departments of France.

Responsible

Seine-Saint-Denis provides a good example. "According to the simulations dating from 2010, we could expect to receive 196 million CVAE in 2011. In spring, the Department notified us that these revenues would be $ 177 million. That is 10% less! "Explains there be to the general council. Same thing in Loire-Atlantique, always CVAE revenues in 2011, "Estimating the spring of 2011 is 134 million while that of 2010 was 148 million," explains Bernard Gagnet, vice-president responsible for the General Administration Department. Department more rural, the Aisne was also affected: the estimated revenue for 2011 rose by 42.3 million by the end 2010 to 36,200,000 in April 2011.

At Bercy, it does not explain the difference.But we recall that the data sent in the spring are provisional. Businesses, unaccustomed to the new tax, have been delayed. Only 70% of tax CVAE of 2010 were available in the spring. They will all summer. It is at this point that Bercy communicate to departments the final amount of revenue CVAE 2011. "And these revenues should be final, to be generally higher than the spring forecast," says one to the department.

Time will tell if this prediction comes true. Anyway, this poor start has worried politicians. They know that if tax revenues are lower than those prevailing in 2011 before the reform of business tax, they will receive compensation funds. But the presidents of county councils, as mayor, do not depend on funding."Ultimately, the dynamic resource departments can only come from CVAE. This question is crucial, "says Jean-Pierre Balligand, MP PS of the Aisne. "Now, our revenues will be more related to the economic performance of firms, their ability to create value added. It's a good thing that will force us to responsible stewardship, "said Bruni Sido For its part, the UMP president of the General Council of Haute-Marne.

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Coffee, maize and soya upwards

As for agricultural commodities, time was up last week. Even the records. Cereals have touched the highest since 2008 in Chicago. At issue: the release of highly anticipated monthly report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), which has troubled investors. The latter has in fact lowered its estimates of world production of corn for the 2010/2011 season to 816 million tonnes. While demand is increasing, driven by ethanol production, U.S. stocks have been drastically scaled down to only 18.92 million tonnes. The contract maturing in March corn finished at $ 6.50 Friday, against $ 5.95 last week. Highest level since July 2008.

For soybeans, the USDA also lowered its forecast for U.S. production at 90.61 million tonnes.Export forecasts remain them unchanged, causing the final stock in the United States to below 4 million tonnes to 3.82. According to analysts, this low level should take the course up until the next USDA report in February. Meanwhile, a bushel of soybeans for March delivery was worth 14.09 dollars on Friday after reaching U.S. $ 14.3250 Thursday new level since 2008.

For wheat, however, global stocks have been revised upwards to 177.99 million tonnes. A bushel of wheat for March delivery ended the week down to 7.6225 dollars.

Arabica is also increased to its highest level in 13 years in New York at 244.50 cents a pound while robusta touched the 2185 dollars in London, the highest since 2008. According to the International Coffee Organization, "Market fundamentals continue to be favorable at high prices."Moreover, "the capricious climate affects crop production and transportation in exporting countries, and disrupts the supply of coffee in the short term," in a context where "demand remains strong, particularly in emerging markets," explains organization.

Cocoa is also mounted last week. The market remains very volatile, so that no solution to the Ivorian political crisis is found. In London, a tonne of cocoa for March delivery ended at 2003 pounds Fridays (4.16% in five days) while in New York, the contract for delivery to the same term ended in 3045 dollars (7, 52% on the week).

Brent crude rises $ 99

Week oil has also been marked by the rise. Main cause of higher prices: the closure of a pipeline in Alaska.1200 km long and connects the North Slope oil region, bordering the Arctic to the southern coast of Alaska, the Trans Alaska pipeline carries between 630,000 and 650,000 barrels of crude per day. This represents over 10% of U.S. production and an important source of supply for the West Coast of the United States. Its closure was decided after the discovery of a leak in a pumping station.

In New York, a barrel of benchmark for February delivery chained three consecutive sessions of gains, boosting its price to 89.25 dollars on Monday to 91.86 dollars on Wednesday. In London, the movement was even more pronounced. Brent for the same period hit its highest level since October 1, 2008 to 98.85 dollars on Wednesday.

Thursday was a day of consolidation, but as of Friday, prices are starting to rebound, persistent uncertainty about the status of the pipeline."The supply is plentiful in the U.S., this is not a problem unless it lasts a month, said Matt Smith of Summit Energy. But as the situation is clearer, prices incorporate this factor. " Analysts at Commerzbank confirms: "The disruption in production and supplies are regarded as the reason for rising prices." On the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of light sweet crude for February delivery ended the week at 91.54 dollars. For its part, the barrel traded in London climbed to 99.20 dollars in session, before closing at 98.65 dollars. "If Brent were to cross the $ 100 a barrel Texan should try to reach new heights," says Rich Ilczyszyn, Lind-Waldock.

Base metals take a breather

On the London Metal Exchange (LME), the week has been more dispersed.After starting the year off with a bang, investors take a breather. What wonder if the rise earlier this year was not only due to bargain hunting, according to observers. In addition, purchases have been penalized by the rise of the dollar earlier in the week.

Copper failed to beat his own record (9754 dollars) and was quoted at 9640 dollars Friday. Nickel fell to 25,747 dollars per tonne, not without having touched a highest since May 2010 to 25,999 dollars, driven by fears about the situation in Australia. Same downward trend for tin (26,750 dollars) which is also mounted to its highest since last November after Indonesia announced a drop in exports due to flooding.Aluminium fell to 2470 dollars despite the fact that Rio Tinto, the third largest exporter, has declared force majeure on one of its largest smelter in Australia.

Most optimistic operators let go gold

Gold was, in turn, affected by renewed optimism on the part of investors. They have enjoyed the successes of three major bond issues of the moment: Portugal, Spain and Italy. The record growth in Germany in December has been added to this positive picture on the economic situation in the euro area. The gold as a safe haven was no longer the priority of operators. Even the dollar's decline has not been enough to halt the downtrend. On the London Bullion Market, gold price ended Friday at 1367 dollars.

As always, gold has led the money in his wake.The latter fell to its lowest level since early December (28.02 dollars per ounce) before laboriously recover. He finished at 28.27 dollars.

A trend-cons, PGMs rose sharply, driven by tensions on supply due to power cuts in South African mines. Platinum rose to its highest since last July (1,829.50 dollars) and palladium has surpassed the $ 800 for the first time in 10 years. On the London Platinum and Palladium Market, they finish the week respectively to 1811 dollars and 795 dollars an ounce.

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Given the success of Apple AppStore that led to pay more than a billion dollars to developers of applications for iPhone, iPod touch and the iPad, the Cupertino company will decline its model for its computers Macintosh.

"We hope to do the same for applications of computers with the Mac App Store, allowing to find and buy PC apps simple and fun. We look forward to starting this January 6, "said Steve Jobs, the cofounder of Apple. Nearly 300,000 applications are available on the AppStore shop for mobile devices that have generated close to the download of almost 7 billion small software.

Before Google

This business model has been popularized by Apple.But there are already over the past ten years, including the first personal digital assistants such as Palm, HP acquired this year.

By opening its application store for computers, Apple will launch its service before the one just announced Google. The Internet giant has just announced for future notebook PCs, including Acer and Samsung promised in the first half of 2011, which will use the operating system OS Chrome.

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The cold, which hit the country since the beginning of the month, blew up the electricity meter. And so, France has set a new record for electricity use on Tuesday night at 18:45: 93,752 megawatts, according to data released by Réseau de Transport d'Electricité (RTE). The previous record for electricity consumption was dated February 11, 2010, to 93,080 megawatts.

For the day Wednesday, RTE again provides a very high consumption of 93,700 MGW to 19 hours, but below Tuesday's record despite a further obstruction. After a very cold day Tuesday, temperatures often negative, and winds of force 7 to 9 in Britain, a new disturbance will arrive on Wednesday at dawn by the coast of the Channel and North Sea. The night is announced in the frigid north, bringing in its wake a few flakes of snow and rain.The cold will persist.

Electricity consumption due to very cold

In winter, a decrease of 1 ° C in temperature causes an increase in electricity consumption of about 2,300 MW, double the consumption in the city of Marseille. Electricity consumption is closely linked to cold, due to the high equipment of the French in electric heaters. Electricity consumption reached its highest levels at night in winter, when the French go home and turn on simultaneously electric heaters and other appliances.

Faced with this demand for electricity, France has imported during peak consumption, a net balance of 4,000 megawatts of electricity on Tuesday to meet its domestic consumption, said RTE. This is well below the maximum capacity for importing electricity grid which is about 8,000 MW.Fifty-two reactors of the 58 that make up the French nuclear fleet (80% of production'électricité) were on duty Tuesday, said a spokeswoman for EDF. In a statement, the Energy Minister, Eric Besson said he had to "increase the mobilization of our production supply.

A "compact electric" State Britain

Britain, which produces only 8% of the electricity it consumes, has not experienced a blackout, but as was the case Tuesday, she is kept in orange alert by RTE on Wednesday. Consumers are advised to moderate their consumption of electricity particularly between 18h and 20h.The site is mobilizing Ecowatt Britain by calling the Britons to "moderate" consumption of electricity and help by giving advice to adopt "good gestures energy, lighting, heating, electrical equipment" on its website.

To avoid the blackout, the region concluded Tuesday with the state a "compact power" to limit the increase of electricity demand, secure its network and develop renewable energy. The "compact electric Breton" plans to halve the growth in electricity consumption Breton 2015, raising it from 2.6% per year (twice the national average) to less than 1.4% .

The Provence-Alpes-Cote d'Azur, the other fragile region in transmission of electricity, has not been warning this time.RTE source said that one is the result of investments (85 million), made to help secure the network.

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(With AFP)