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130 000 138 000: the number of managers who should be recruited this year, according to the annual survey of the Association for the use of frameworks (APEC). A decrease between 10% and 4% compared to 2009, the year already with a disastrous 28% decline in recruitment.

For if France was recovering from recession, the economic outlook remains uncertain. So, most leaders, including major groups, which at the height of the crisis have tightened the bolts in terms of wages than new hires, no plans, for now at least, change policy.

In this gloomy climate, the most affected will be like last year's graduates (bac + 4 and above). "Their situation will be the worst ever," said Jacky Chatelain, director general of APEC. The figures speak for themselves.Post engineering schools, business schools or university, they will be 120 000 to enter the labor market. But according to Pierre Lamblin, Director of Studies and Research of APEC, 21 000 to 23 000 only, 000 against 29 last year and nearly 45 000 in 2008, will be recruited with the status under this year, the lowest figure since … 1993. In addition, at the time, the number of graduates was far lower savings account payday advance .

This further deterioration due to several factors. First, the longer the duration of the contribution of assets born after 1948 to receive a full pension, which mitigates the effects of "aging population".Second, firms prefer hiring young professionals and executives confirmed mostly (five years minimum experience) that represent more than half of the hires in 2010.

Improvement from 2011

By sector, after a sharp decline in 2009 (- 34%), recruitment in the industry are still in decline (between – 14% – 23%). The construction and trade are also strongly affected. In contrast, services (banking, insurance, specialized distribution, engineering …) will be resistance and could stabilize the level of recruitment.

Finally, little sign of optimism, though short-term horizon of the job market for executives is quite stuffy in the medium term it is expected. Forecasts of APEC, recruitment would increase steadily from 2011 to regain a high level in 2012.And in 2014, companies would hire more than 240 000 frames, which constitute a record.

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Two years after changing hands, the airline flies in Europe Airpost clear skies. His transition from La Poste Group's specialist in the transport ASL Group (owned by Belgian capital: fund Peter Cam and Compagnie Maritime Belge) is, to date, a no-fault. This despite the air holes through which the airline industry since late 2008 in the wake of the crisis. Airpost europe is among the few companies to have made money in 2009. The company specializes in short and medium haul transported 750 000 passengers and 63 000 tonnes of cargo last year and net income of 6 million euros from a turnover of 231 million euros.

To explain its resilience, it highlights the diversification policy and an economic model based on a unified fleet of Boeing B 737 "works" 24H/24H with their conversation fast cargo service aircraft in the night transport of passengers flying on the day. In addition our location in the province which makes us the first charter company out of the province it represents only 520 000 passengers, "says Jean-Francois Dominiak, CEO of the airline.

Diversification policy strengthened

This activity builds on its historical legacy of the prestigious Aeropostale, provider of express transportation on behalf of La Poste, Chronopost but the Royal Mail in the UK under contracts that were renewed for two years. Beyond that, nothing is on.Therefore, the company celebrates its tenth anniversary this year, accelerating its diversification policy. It will thus rise to power in transporting passengers with the introduction of three new aircraft including 2 Boeing 737-700 aircraft from April 2010 to early summer in the air.

These devices from Dublin, Paris and Nantes must allow new routes to Egypt, sub-Saharan Africa and in Iceland. The objective is to transport between 850 000 and 900 000 passengers this year on behalf of tour operators. Europe Airpost is indeed the major provider of air signatures of tourism such as Thomas Cook, Fram or Club Med.

Meanwhile, the company launched in co-chartered by offering several tour operators to come together on the same plane and it will develop fuel hedges to offer its customers fixed prices throughout the year. Europe Airpost also studying a solution co-charter dedicated to major express carrier such as Fedex, DHL or UPS on a new European cargo routes. This new service could be launched in 2011.

For better and for worse. The formula is devoted to marriages as a glove in Hong Kong. China, with its tremendous growth (10.7% last quarter 2009), certainly takes the resumption of the Special Administrative Region (SAR), politically subservient to Beijing but economically and financially independent. However, it also threatens to plunge the country into a spiral of overheating.

"The potential risk of forming bubbles is high," says Norman Chan, Executive Director of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.

In China, prices are rising for several months now so excessive, and many experts are warning the country against the dangers of relapse.Mid-January, during the Asian Financial Forum, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) called for the establishment of measures of capital controls in Asia, stating: "Until is temporary, it probably only means to avoid the bubble shape. Beijing does nothing when the bank credit limit to 7.500 billion yuan (773 billion euros) in 2010, against 9590 billion yuan (966 billion) per annum penny.

"The Chinese spend freely"

The Government of Hong Kong is believed to be safe. But it was forgotten that the two powers "are linked by two-way interests perfectly understood one side or the other, as recalled Victor Visot, president of advisers of Foreign Trade of France.

The city is a work in progress."500 buildings out of earth each year, observes Edward Yau, Minister of Environment, pointing to the towers being built around his office. While height and meet new environmental standards, "says he, anxious to point out that 70% of the land remains wild.

Even 710,000 Hong Kong dollars (66 cash advance in one hour .700 Euros) per square meter for an apartment overlooking the sea, tearing programs like hotcakes. The mainland Chinese are the first customers of Hong Kong developers."All the establishement of Beijing and Shanghai, all top managers have a pied-à-terre here that they have or not a business, said Edward Leung, chief economist at the Hong Kong Trade Development Council. They are the ones who buy goods more expensive and they have that, unlike the financial crisis of 1997-1998, house prices do not collapse. "

They invest more easily than the Chinese authorities have allowed banks on the continent to settle in Hong Kong. In the luxury shops of the Central neighborhood, one recognizes immediately the Chinese in their Mandarin while everyone here speaks Cantonese. "They have money, they spend freely and today supply 60% of sales of major brands," said Victor Visot.

After declining 20% in fall 2008, housing prices soared again, observes Helen Chan, senior economist for the government.Especially in the high end, where they rose 30% in 2009, at the same time that transactions were exploding, driven by interest rates very low (0.5% base rate).

While "the risk of a bubble is not imminent," dithers Nomura specialist on site. But it is real enough that Hong Kong officials, while saying "do not control capital movements, consider taking administrative measures to curb overheating. As they did last October, raising the deposit on the most luxurious apartments.

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Having virtually disappeared in 2008, housing loans granted to U.S. households with a financial risk profile remake flourished. According to a study by John Krainer, an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, these loans subprime currently represent 20% of total new loans granted overseas. This share is equivalent to that observed in 2006, before the financial crisis broke out, and when those loans were heavily allocated.

The economist said however that the number of assignments mortgages has narrowed considerably. "The writing of new mortgages has slowed considerably over the past two years.The net indebtedness of households backed mortgages has declined every quarter since early 2006 and is now negative for the first time since the 1970s.

A new type of loan subprime

John Krainer, however, stressed that "subprime" are different from current products subprime granted before the crisis. Now, "the three organizations provide mortgage refinancing semi unprecedented support to the housing market, owning or guaranteeing nearly 95% of new residential mortgages," says the Fed economist.

Banks are no longer transform risky loans into securities traded on the market as they do not have a government guarantee.Thus, the quality of securitized products is more controlled: the GSEs mortgage refinancing that are Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae to ensure. "The securitization carried out parastatals were much more likely to include floating rate loans and accompanied by incomplete information on income and assets of the borrower," said John Krainer.

This increased control reduces the risks of securitization, a practice that is hardly used outside of such mortgages. The Economist points out, however, a drawback to the supervision of banking practices: this intermediation could hinder the return to normal housing market.

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