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The meeting of the Eurogroup does succeed to allay fears about the debt crisis, which saddled the Paris market? Yesterday, after long hesitation, the CAC 40 finished down 0.64% to 3103.60 points. On Tuesday, the index is expected to rise, thanks to a technical rebound, according to futures contracts for the month of December rose 0.5%.

Greece but also Italy crystallize the main concerns have increased as rumors of leaving the Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, immediately denied by the latter. Nevertheless, if the vote to be held tomorrow at the Chamber of Deputies on the budget is negative, the departure of Cavaliere seem inevitable.

At the same time, the finance ministers of the euro area gathered in Brussels last night stepped up their pressure on Athens and Rome to the two countries meet their commitments to reduce deficits.In the process, Wall Street ended on an optimistic note. This morning, Asian markets have proven uncertain and divided: while Tokyo closed down 1.27% to 8655.51 points, Hong Kong is the balance just before 8 am (Paris time) around 19,696 , 11 points.

In this context, oil prices were up this morning in early electronic trading. The barrel of "light sweet crude" for December delivery gained 8 cents to 95.60 dollars. Barrel of Brent North Sea crude for December delivery advanced on his side of 22 cents to 114.78 dollars.

In terms of macroeconomic indicators, the figures of foreign trade in value in September will be unveiled today at 8:45. INSEE also publish the price of oil and raw materials in October at noon.

"If your forget you Papi, did you not understand!" This is the slogan that the Feast of grandfathers proudly looks for Sunday, October 2. This annual event occurred in 2008 reflects the growing weight What grandparents grandmothers are celebrated in France on the first Sunday in March since 1987 not only in the family hierarchy but also in the population. In fact, 50% of those age 55 have at least one small child bad credit personal loan lenders. "Women are becoming grandmothers at 54 years on average, while men are becoming grandparents at age 56," says Sophie Schmitt, founder and CEO of Seniosphere, a consulting firm in strategy and marketing on the target of baby Boomers and seniors.

Poster of the 2011 edition of the Festival of grandfathers. DR.

During the weekend, Moody's and the three banks involved have declined to make any comment.

The Perfect Storm market, this change of note, even anticipated, will be a blow to those banks seeking to reassure investors about their ability to refinance. The climate is harmful: the action of Societe Generale, the most attacked by the markets, has lost 56% since January 1, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole and 37%, 43%. The European banking index at the same time dropped by 35%.

Troika in Athens

The tension is escalated Friday when the very orthodox chief economist at the European Central Bank (ECB), the German Jürgen Stark, resigned to show his disagreement with the assistance provided by the Mint of the fragile the euro area, including Italy and Spain, as a redemption of their bonds on the market.To make matters worse, banks are reluctant to lend to each other. Deposits from day to day banking in the euro area with the European Central Bank (ECB) are at record levels.

This week, representatives of the troika (EU, IMF and ECB), to oversee the accounts of Greece, it will return. They had left unexpectedly in early September, saying that Athens had not fulfilled its promises in terms of privatization and economic reforms. The Greek government has given additional pledges Sunday and EU Commissioner Olli Rehn said he was confident in the prospect of an agreement by the end of the month. Time is short indeed: Greece is in dire need of approval from the troika to receive a new tranche of EUR 8 billion taken from the first aid plan in 2010. A refusal would mean the default.Banks that have lent money, would suffer, while heavy losses.

In this context, the debate rages about whether European banks, which hold their balance sheets in packages of loans to countries in fragile states in the euro area are adequately capitalized.

August 27, Christine Lagarde, the executive director of the IMF, had felt it was "urgent" that the European financial institutions reinforce with new capital. Saturday, it reduced his remarks, adding that the figure of 200 billion euro recapitalization needs of European banks was only a preliminary estimate "under discussion" …

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Year after year, the situation is more bitter and alarmist. The Chinese market is becoming less hospitable to foreign companies. In its annual report, the European Chamber of Commerce in China believes that despite promises, Beijing multiplies the obstacles. "Recent measures limiting further opening the market to raise questions about the desire to create for all market players sustainable opportunities," says the EU document.

Catalogue of Foreign Investment released this year by the Chinese government is full of examples. Notably in the "green" high priority posted in Beijing. Foreigners are worried about being de facto excluded from the promising area of ​​"clean energy".Thus, the joint venture manufacturer of components for cars running the "new energy" power in the first place can not be held at 50% maximum by foreigners. The same goes for offshore wind turbines. In a more general, significant obstacles still exist in the sectors of construction, automotive, financial services and telecommunications.

A perfect expertise

If the Speaker of the House, Davide Cucino, welcomed the objectives of 12th five year plan endorsed this year by Beijing, which focuses on the development of domestic consumption and services, he regretted that "some of these priorities will not reflected in the texts governing foreign investment. " And, while "European companies have a perfect expertise and technology" to address these areas of effort.Surveys of members of the House reflect the anxiety room. Some 43% of them believe that the measures taken by Beijing are discriminatory to foreign firms, against 33% last year. And 46% – against 36% last year – believe that this situation will continue at least in the next two years.

At a time when the general economic downturn makes the dynamic even more indispensable terrain Chinese, Europeans and Americans want Beijing transforms good intentions into action. As for improving market access for public bids – estimated at one trillion dollars annually, which is slow in coming, as deplored by Davide Cucino.

The New York Stock Exchange, which has accelerated its rise in early trading after the publication of a good ISM, quickly found the red and has continued to widen its losses. In the end, the Dow fell 1.03% to 11,493.57 points, the S & P by 1.19% to 1204.42 points and the Nasdaq 1.3% to 2546.04 points. Trading volumes were low in anticipation of U.S. employment figures on Friday. Wednesday, the increase was set for the fourth session later time.The U.S. investors were reassured by the tone of the minutes of the last monetary policy committee of the Fed.

While the manufacturing sector remained in growth in the United States in August, while analysts expected a contraction. This index, calculated by the Institute of Supply Management (ISM), falls to 50.6 against 50.9 in July and 48.5 expected.But investors have extra caution while construction spending heavily relapsed in July in the U.S., continuing to suffer from the weak housing market, according to figures released Thursday by the Commerce Department.

In addition, the decline in nonfarm productivity in the United States was larger than initially announced in the second quarter, against a backdrop of weak economic growth, according to revised figures released today by the Department of Labor. And the number of jobless declined in the United States during the week to August 27, at 409,000 against 421,000 the previous week. Economists were anticipating 410,000 registrations.

The blow came from the White House. If it has revised down its forecast budget deficit of the U.S. federal government for 2011 and 2012, it has also revised down its growth forecasts.The Budget Office of the White House (OMB) said in its biannual journal that the deficit should reach 8.8% of GDP for 2011 and 6.1% for 2012. It revised down its economic growth forecast to 2.1% this year and 3.3% for 2012, pushing the unemployment rate to 8.2% in the fourth quarter, up 0.9 point less than in July 2011.

European debt worries yet

In Europe, the issue of debt remains a concern for investors. According to calculations by economists of the IMF if the European banks were asked to write on their balance sheet obligations of States in the euro area market value, their tangible equity would fall to about 200 billion euros in total, from 10 to 12%, reports the Financial Times. In fact, the debt crisis is far from over and the discrepancies between European leaders are continuing.Latest, the EU president, Herman Van Rompuy, downplayed the significance of the "golden rule" budget that Paris and Berlin want to impose the euro area, even as France in extolling the virtues.

Values ​​to follow

The side of values, French Fimalac announced the sale of its Canadian subsidiary Algorithmics, specializing in software for the financial industry, IBM (-0.92% to 170.32 dollars).

Automakers said Thursday strong growth in sales of cars in the year to August in the U.S., 31% for Chrysler, Nissan 19%, 18% for General Motors (-4.16% to 23.03 dollars) and 11% for Ford (-2.52% to 10.84 dollars), despite difficult economic conditions.

The title Ciena surged 20.18%. The manufacturer of equipment for telecommunications shows a profit for the first time in three years, while analysts expected a further loss.

Goldman Sachs has been unscrewed from 3.49%. The U.S. Federal Reserve demanded that the U.S. bank to make the services of an outside consultant to review the mortgages issued by one of its subsidiaries, to identify and compensate borrowers who have been victims of improper seizures .

In addition, a judge overturned the conviction of SAP (-1.04% to 53.85 dollars) to pay to $ 1.3 miliard Oracle (-0.80% to 27.85 dollars).

The distribution group online eBay (-1.43% to 30.43 dollars) is looking for acquisitions in Japan and China, the two largest economies in the Asia, where the group wants to develop, said an official of the eBay Wall Street Journal Thursday.

Also note, after closing the CEO of the U.S. investment bank Bank Of New York Mellon (-0.15% to 20.64 dollars), Robert Kelly, has resigned because of "differences in management approach Company "with the rest of management, said Wednesday the establishment.He was replaced by Gerald Hassell, a member of the board, the bank said in a statement.

For its part, the number two mobile phone in the U.S., AT & T (-0.74% to 28.27 dollars), suffered a blow Wednesday with the opposition of the competition agencies, the proposed takeover its rival T-Mobile for $ 39 billion.

Cameron International (-0.83% to 51.53 dollars) has announced the acquisition activities of LeTourneau drilling products held by Joy Global for about $ 375 million in cash. The same Joy Global said it had experienced for its third quarter ended July 29, orders rose by 49% to $ 1.4 billion and sales up 34% to $ 1.1 billion.Operating profit reached $ 236 million against 172 million last year.

Costco Wholesale (1.20% to 79.48 dollars) issued net sales up 17% year on year to 6.9 billion in August and 27.6 billion dollars in the fourth quarter. In addition, CEO Jim Sinegal announced his departure on 1 January 2012 and its replacement by the Director of Operations Craig Jelinek.

Stryker (-1.23% to 48.24 dollars) will acquire Concentric Medical, specializing in the manufacture of products for the treatment of ischemic stroke, for $ 135 million.

• Why is it the capital the sinews of war?

Basis of bank balance sheets, equity protect in case of hardship, by absorbing the losses. For decades, regulators consider that the level of capital a bank against its commitments is the best indicator of its strength. The 2008 financial crisis has only reinforced this analysis for the simple reason that supervisors realized they had been unable to prevent it. Thus, their goal now is to reduce the impact of future crises, by ensuring that banks have sufficient buffers.In particular, the new international regulations, Basel 3, requires that by 2019 no later than the banks' capital should represent at least 7% of their commitments "hard equity" against a floor equivalent to 2% before the crisis .

• 400 billion already raised

In other words, the race started in the capital for a long time in Europe. First in 2008 and 2009 to offset losses from the crisis. And since 2010 to meet the requirements of Basel 3. The European Commission amounted to 340 billion euros state aid in the form of recapitalization of banks that it has validated between 2008 and 2010. Between January and April 2011, banks have continued to increase their capital by 50 billion euros. In total, nearly 400 billion euros were injected into the European banking system in three years. And it's not over.Portugal, Greece or Spain, the governments push to consolidate their banking sectors. European authorities concluded, following stress tests conducted in May, as eight banks of these countries had an immediate need for 2.5 billion euros. But the amount should be much higher because 16 banks, including Germany, remain in a tie no fax payday advance. For European banks, finally, the question is whether the economic downturn will thwart the rise of their ratios by reducing their profits. In which case they will either raise capital or reduce their commitments.

• Who are the deep pockets?

If Christine Lagarde calls on European banks to seek priority to private investors, the plummeting share price of Barclays and other general company since the beginning of the year complicates the equation.The UniCredit, Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank have had the chance to increase their capital just before the stock market crash of the summer. French banks, they have got just in time a boost through the stock dividend. In this context, it is no coincidence that the last few days of sovereign wealth funds and other major investors are back. Last week, Warren Buffett – who won $ 1.7 billion by betting $ 5 billion over Goldman Sachs in 2008 – has placed a ticket 5 billion in Bank of America. In addition, the merger of the second and third Greek banks is supported by a fund of Qatar. In 2007 and 2008, already, Singapore, Kuwait or China were brought to the rescue of troubled banks in the world.All did not keep good memories, like the fund of Abu Dhabi, Adia had placed $ 7 billion in Citigroup.

However, if by chance the private shareholders do not jostled, European states began to organize to ensure public support for the banking sector. This is the case in Spain, for example. In addition, the Summit of July 21, European governments have decided to allow the European stability fund to recapitalize banks directly if necessary.

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While many criminal investigations are underway in the United States against Goldman Sachs, the management of the investment bank is taking the lead. Concordant sources, its chief executive, Lloyd Blankfein, has hired Reid Weingarten, a lawyer outside the company. The establishment said that such recruitment is not exceptional. Thus, a spokesman for the group stated that: "As is common in such situations, Lloyd Blankfein and other members of society must be heard as part of an investigation by the Justice Department U.S. response to the issues raised by a report (of a commission of inquiry of the Senate) have hired a lawyer. "

But in exchange, the reaction was particularly violent: the title of the bank plunged 4.7% to 106.51 dollars on Monday.The action that had opened up a hook at the very end of the session in the wake of the announcement by Reuters, the recruitment of Reid Weingarten. The decline then continued as in trade after the market fell to 105.45 dollars. The markets are worried because of legal troubles that will face the bank and could affect the company and its future profits.

Profile Reid Weingarten feeds the fears of Wall Street

The profile of the chosen lawyer, Reid Weingarten, fueling fears of investors. The latter is one of the most renowned lawyers in the defense of white collar crimes. He has defended the former CEO of WorldCom, Bernard Ebbers and former CFO of Enron, Richard Causey credit reports free. Both men are currently incarcerated for fraud.Reid Weingarten recently said to be "used to defend difficult cases where my clients are hated by all." He has also defended including the former legal adviser to the U.S. energy broker Tyco, former executive director of classifieds site Monster.com employment and CEOs of U.S. Neteller online banking and the reinsurer Gen Re . All suspected fraud, tax or other.

After being hired by executives of Goldman Sachs, some are asking: "Why hire someone like that?" And for them, "it means only one thing: they take the matter seriously."

Goldman Sachs is not his first brush with the law. Accused of misleading its customers at the height of the crisis, the bank had paid $ 550 million in June 2010 to settle a complaint by the U.S. authority to regulate stock exchanges (SEC).And recently, the U.S. Senate issued a 650-page report very critical of the bank for its handling of the subprime crisis. The Justice Department is also continuing its investigation into Goldman Sachs and questions about its activities and its role in financial crisis. The bank is particularly accused of misleading its customers shortly before the outbreak of the financial crisis. She also denies two years of accusations of fraud and conflict of interest.

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Wall Street was unable to string together a fourth consecutive session. The New York Stock Exchange finished lower on Tuesday: according to preliminary figures, the Dow Jones gives 0.68% to 11,405.25 points and the Nasdaq, dominated by technology, 1.26% to 2523.11 points. After opening down, the markets have increased their losses after the meeting, much anticipated, between German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy, Around 20 hours (French time), the Dow Jones lost 0.89% to 11,380 , 46 points after hitting a low of 11,292.63 points. The Nasdaq loose in turn 1.45% to 2518.22 points.

The ads at the end of the Franco-German summit failed to reassure the markets, concerned about the contagion of the crisis of debt in the euro area.Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy called for a "real governance of the euro area", the introduction of golden rule of balancing the budget in national constitutions and a tax on financial transactions. They, however, repeated their opposition to the creation of Eurobonds. These must be the "culmination of a process of integration and not a prerequisite," said Nicolas Sarkozy. For the French head of state, they would, in addition, "serious danger" to the most stable countries such as Germany and France.

After the meeting, European markets ended on a note hesitant. The euro was briefly argued against the greenback before going down. The European currency traded at 1.4402 dollars around 21 hours, down 0.21%, after reaching 1.4471 dollars in the wake of Franco-German proposals.Oil markets, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery closed lower. He lost $ 1.23 to 86.65 dollars. The September Brent sold his part of 0.4%, or 44 cents to 109.47 dollars.

European growth disappoints

The bad mood also follows the publication of European indicators disappointing that send negative signals about the health of the euro area. Germany, European locomotive, reported a surprise slowdown and sharp growth in the second quarter. The entire euro area saw growth of 0.2% after increasing 0.8% in the first quarter.

Two good news though: the rating agency Fitch affirmed the "AAA" rating on U.S. debt, along with a stable outlook. The Federal Reserve also reported industrial production rose higher than expected for the month of July.It advances by 0.9% thanks to the automotive sector and the heat wave that has boosted the use of air conditioners and thus power consumption.

The release of housing starts, down 1.5% in July, but confirmed the slump. The number of building permits has meanwhile Contracted 3.2%. As for import prices, they recorded an unexpected rebound, while export declined.

Values ​​to follow

On the corporate side, Home Depot (5.31% to 33.13 dollars) has issued a profit better than expected in the second quarter, while Wal-Mart (3.87% to 51.95 dollars) recorded a further decline in sales over the same period. The retail giant has nevertheless issued a profit and a turnover up more than 5%.

Agilent Technologies (-2.48% to 36.57 dollars) reported Monday after-hours trading from a profit of $ 330 million, or 92 cents a share, in the third quarter, up 62% The number of Business was up to 1.69 billion.

Berkshire Hathaway (-0.90% to 107.623 dollars) would have taken a stake in the retailer Dollar General (4.94% to 33.78 dollars).

Dell (1.94% to 15.80 dollars) has a higher than expected for deuxtrième quarter. It reached $ 890 million, up 63%. Saks (-4.63% to 8.77 dollars) has warned that he would discuss the fall "with a bit more caution" in light of general concerns about the economic recovery. The group, however, reported a loss of $ 8.4 million in the second quarter, against 32.2 million last year. Its quarterly revenue was also up 13% year on year.

For the United States

"The direct consequence of the loss of" AAA "rating is going to be the most difficult to borrow, says Dominique Roux, professor of economics at Paris Dauphine. Interest rates will therefore rise. "The movement may be modest, however: despite the rumors of degradation rates of long-term interest Americans were still very low Friday. "The rating agencies do not set interest rates, although they may have an influence," Augustin Landier tempers, professor at the Toulouse School of Economics. In April 2002, Japan lost its rating "AAA" and the impact remained limited. Above all, the United States remains a country apart. "Today, the U.S. Treasury issues debt, which was bought by the Federal Reserve, the U.S. central bank.It is therefore run the printing press, "says François Chaulet, associate director at Montsegur Finance. Another consequence, some bond managers could be forced to sell U.S. debt because they are forbidden to hold securities other than "AAA".

For European states

Europe has its own concerns of public debt, particularly in Spain and Italy. However, some might find of interest. "There is a" AAA "less and there could be a technical delay of the remaining debts still having this notation," Judge Francis Soler, credit manager at Edmond de Rothschild IM. This is the case of Germany, but also of France.And S & P affirmed the ratings for France online payday loans.

For financial markets

"Markets do not expect the decisions of rating agencies to react," said François Chaulet. The deterioration of the American note was expected, which partly explains the decline in recent days. "It is the accumulation of bad news, especially the concern about future economic growth in the United States, which led to a drop of this magnitude of global exchanges, said Jerome Vineria, an analyst at IG Markets Markets. These elements are still there, implying that markets should remain volatile in the coming weeks. "But the bad news today all seem familiar. And a real international coordination could change the movement."If Monday's session can still be difficult, I think, however, that the balance of the week in Paris could be positive," Jerome Vineria ventures.

For households and businesses

For U.S. households, the main risk would be higher interest rates. Companies will also be affected by the rising cost of credit, but they could also benefit by acting as a hedge against weak states. "Today, many companies appear financially stronger than the most fragile states," Francis Soler edge.

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»COMPUTER GRAPHICS – Who holds the State debts

The lack of consensus in Washington on ways to prevent a default by the U.S. Treasury in early August was still crying Friday. "We are clearly running out of time we have left. So I asked members of Congress to give me, within 24 to 36 hours, an indication of the plan that will raise the debt ceiling, "said Barack Obama. The American president has reiterated its willingness to accept adjustments in social programs, that number of elected its own camp, however, refused. But he asks the same time to give the Republicans on tax increases, or at least, on the elimination of tax loopholes, "The Republican voters are willing to (in) to accept," he said, citing recent surveys.

"We're not Greece or Portugal. We do not need to do something drastic, "said Barack Obama.The situation of the United States is indeed very different from the peripheral countries of Europe are grappling with the crisis of sovereign debt. Nevertheless: the absence of a congressional vote before August 2, the U.S. Treasury can no longer borrow as it has already reached the limit of its debt. It would be forced to stop paying some of its creditors.

"Golden Rule" Republican

Shortly before the intervention of Barack Obama, John Boehner, chairman of the House of Representatives, promised the adoption by his fellow Republicans of a "robust plan" to raise the debt ceiling to 2.4 trillion dollars. This text does not include any tax increases, cap on federal spending and also provides for the adoption of a constitutional amendment such as "golden rule" to prevent budget deficits. In other words, it is unlikely to generate a consensus in the Senate.Barack Obama has confirmed that he opposed it.

In the Senate, bipartisan negotiations, subtle and inventive, continue. The leaders of both parties hope to combine a reduction of expenditures in the order of at least 1 000 billion over ten years, raising the ceiling to be de facto delegated by Congress to the President.

The aim is to enable elected not to vote explicitly for raising the ceiling or to the tax increase. Increasing the cap would take place in three stages and maximum total amount would be 2 500 billion, just enough to allow the Treasury to pay all his debts until after the 2012 elections.

According to the proposed scheme, only two-thirds majority in both houses can block increases ceiling decided by Barack Obama. It does not say that this effort to succeed.Or that the elected House of Representatives accept the principle or detail. The installation is complicated as it may be associated with a new method of reduction in social health (Medicare) and retirement (Social Security). A bipartisan commission would draw up by the end of a list of savings to be realized.