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Staff morale was recorded in late spring a dramatic improvement, the financial crisis of this summer related to sovereign debt of the United States and the countries of the euro area has dramatically changed the situation. And the beginning of September, white-collar grind black.

In any case, what emerges from the latest wave of the Baro-Eco Viavoice for HEC, Le Figaro and France Inter, in August, the total fertility fell by 30 percentage points from May "Unheard of. And, – 55, the index fell to its lowest level since its inception in 2004, "insists François Miquet-Marty, president of Viavoice.

All indicators are in red and some even collapsing altogether. Thus, three out of four frames (+ 25 points) expect a deterioration in living standards in France in general in a year, against one in two in May.And nearly eight in ten (39 + points) forecast an increase in unemployment in the coming months (the survey was conducted before the publication of poor figures from July). "The extent of the deterioration of macroeconomic indicators is particularly worrying," believes François Miquet-Marty No teletrack payday loans.

Fear of a recession

In this context, it is not surprising that they are pessimistic about the evolution of the economic situation. Seven in ten think that France "will again be in recession" over the coming months."The risks of recession concern especially as states now have more ways to revive the economy," said President Viavoice.

The personal perspectives of white-collar darker too, even though the labor market frameworks remained well oriented in July, according to latest statistics from the Apec, with offers up 67% over 12 months. According to the barometer Viavoice near a two-part (+ 16 points) think their personal financial situation "will deteriorate." More than eight in ten believe that the opportunities to advance their careers will be "weak". "Vote the budget framework of Franco-German proposals against the crisis, G20 in the fall: the appointment of school appear to be crucial to restore the confidence of executives," said François Miquet-Marty.

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Worn since last May by the strong current created by the bursting of the "case DSK", the national daily general news continue to surge. In June, France paid the dissemination of Figaro, which keeps its place as the first national daily, has increased by 2.68% over the same month of 2010, the World 2.06% and Liberation of 0.80%, according to monthly reports filed by publishers to OJD.

The data disclosed by the monitoring body of the press in France also show that only three titles, which is in addition the business daily Les Echos, finally take their game in the first half. From January to June, the spread paid France's Liberation, headed since February by Nicolas Demorand has increased by 4.97% over the same period last year, reaching 118,416 copies.The World has gained 2.66% to 293,650 copies. The media group controlled by the trio "BNP" (Pierre Berge, Xavier Niel and Matthew Pigasse) announced Friday that he expected an operating profit in 2011. In the first half, the group Le Monde "reported an operating profit of 2.3 million euros," he said. For its part, Le Figaro, which prepares a modernization of its formula to the end of September, has remained in the lead with a paid circulation of 326,490 copies, France, an increase of 1.21%.As for the special daily Les Echos group LVMH, the increase was 1.49% (121,956 copies).

Sharp decline in "France-Soir"

In contrast, all other securities of national daily press recede in the first six of the year: -7.53% for equipment (273,157 copies), -5.12% for La Tribune (65 445 ex.) – 3.69% for Le Parisien (290 690 ex.) -3.04% for Today in France (159 291 ex.) and -2.09% for the Cross (95 669 ex.). The fall of the highest returns to France-Soir that loses -12.10% to 63,741 copies. The title was placed last Monday in backup process for four months by the Commercial Court of Paris. Controlled by Alexander Pugachev, France-Soir has achieved a turnover of 17 million euros in 2010 against 9.6 million in 2009. At the same time, operating income totaled a loss to -31 million euros (-12.9 million against in 2009).The first half of 2011, its sales totaled 6.1 million euros for an operating result of -12.8 million, according to data reported earlier this week by its shareholder.

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• Why is it the capital the sinews of war?

Basis of bank balance sheets, equity protect in case of hardship, by absorbing the losses. For decades, regulators consider that the level of capital a bank against its commitments is the best indicator of its strength. The 2008 financial crisis has only reinforced this analysis for the simple reason that supervisors realized they had been unable to prevent it. Thus, their goal now is to reduce the impact of future crises, by ensuring that banks have sufficient buffers.In particular, the new international regulations, Basel 3, requires that by 2019 no later than the banks' capital should represent at least 7% of their commitments "hard equity" against a floor equivalent to 2% before the crisis .

• 400 billion already raised

In other words, the race started in the capital for a long time in Europe. First in 2008 and 2009 to offset losses from the crisis. And since 2010 to meet the requirements of Basel 3. The European Commission amounted to 340 billion euros state aid in the form of recapitalization of banks that it has validated between 2008 and 2010. Between January and April 2011, banks have continued to increase their capital by 50 billion euros. In total, nearly 400 billion euros were injected into the European banking system in three years. And it's not over.Portugal, Greece or Spain, the governments push to consolidate their banking sectors. European authorities concluded, following stress tests conducted in May, as eight banks of these countries had an immediate need for 2.5 billion euros. But the amount should be much higher because 16 banks, including Germany, remain in a tie no fax payday advance. For European banks, finally, the question is whether the economic downturn will thwart the rise of their ratios by reducing their profits. In which case they will either raise capital or reduce their commitments.

• Who are the deep pockets?

If Christine Lagarde calls on European banks to seek priority to private investors, the plummeting share price of Barclays and other general company since the beginning of the year complicates the equation.The UniCredit, Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank have had the chance to increase their capital just before the stock market crash of the summer. French banks, they have got just in time a boost through the stock dividend. In this context, it is no coincidence that the last few days of sovereign wealth funds and other major investors are back. Last week, Warren Buffett – who won $ 1.7 billion by betting $ 5 billion over Goldman Sachs in 2008 – has placed a ticket 5 billion in Bank of America. In addition, the merger of the second and third Greek banks is supported by a fund of Qatar. In 2007 and 2008, already, Singapore, Kuwait or China were brought to the rescue of troubled banks in the world.All did not keep good memories, like the fund of Abu Dhabi, Adia had placed $ 7 billion in Citigroup.

However, if by chance the private shareholders do not jostled, European states began to organize to ensure public support for the banking sector. This is the case in Spain, for example. In addition, the Summit of July 21, European governments have decided to allow the European stability fund to recapitalize banks directly if necessary.

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"Europe defends its banks

Denis Olivennes set the course. The boss of Europe on Monday announced a desire to place the station "lasting beyond 10% of total audience," where its predecessor, Alexandre Bompard, always assured that "we had not set a target Hearing ". A Europe which ended the 2010-2011 season to 8.7% of the audience, did not exceed the symbolic threshold of 10% audience from January to March 2010. For Denis Olivennes, yet it is the "natural area" where Europe has to change 1. Currently, a play in which division France Inter (10.2%) and NRJ (10.7%). "It's a marathon not a sprint," said Denis Olivennes.

If the owner of the station, also at the head of information division of Lagardère Active (Europe 1, Sunday Journal and Paris Match), is given three years to reach its goal, it is pressed to do so."We need to increase advertising revenues and those from diversification. It provided funding for our programs, "commented Denis Olivennes. In the first half, Europe 1a indeed registered a "slight decrease" in advertising revenues. But advertisers have been attracted by the new schedule in September, reassured the control group low fee payday advance.

This new grid wants to "reconnect with the deep roots of the station." "Europe is a television station whose spine is the information which has the characteristic good humor," analyzed Denis Olivennes.Simple translation on the air: the three appointments of information of the day – the morning, afternoon and evening Europe – are interspersed with two "beaches of entertainment," in the late morning and afternoon.

New site info

Eager to improve its image among listeners as advertisers, Europe has become an an "opinion leader". It is the mission entrusted to Arlette Chabot, director of information of the station. "The information needs to be a reference to Europe, as its independence," she said. To strengthen its position as the standard for information, will also launch a Europe in mid-October a "pure player" of information, facilitated by a dedicated team of journalists. It will be fed content from other sites in the group, its own content and production of Internet users.

For the United States

"The direct consequence of the loss of" AAA "rating is going to be the most difficult to borrow, says Dominique Roux, professor of economics at Paris Dauphine. Interest rates will therefore rise. "The movement may be modest, however: despite the rumors of degradation rates of long-term interest Americans were still very low Friday. "The rating agencies do not set interest rates, although they may have an influence," Augustin Landier tempers, professor at the Toulouse School of Economics. In April 2002, Japan lost its rating "AAA" and the impact remained limited. Above all, the United States remains a country apart. "Today, the U.S. Treasury issues debt, which was bought by the Federal Reserve, the U.S. central bank.It is therefore run the printing press, "says François Chaulet, associate director at Montsegur Finance. Another consequence, some bond managers could be forced to sell U.S. debt because they are forbidden to hold securities other than "AAA".

For European states

Europe has its own concerns of public debt, particularly in Spain and Italy. However, some might find of interest. "There is a" AAA "less and there could be a technical delay of the remaining debts still having this notation," Judge Francis Soler, credit manager at Edmond de Rothschild IM. This is the case of Germany, but also of France.And S & P affirmed the ratings for France online payday loans.

For financial markets

"Markets do not expect the decisions of rating agencies to react," said François Chaulet. The deterioration of the American note was expected, which partly explains the decline in recent days. "It is the accumulation of bad news, especially the concern about future economic growth in the United States, which led to a drop of this magnitude of global exchanges, said Jerome Vineria, an analyst at IG Markets Markets. These elements are still there, implying that markets should remain volatile in the coming weeks. "But the bad news today all seem familiar. And a real international coordination could change the movement."If Monday's session can still be difficult, I think, however, that the balance of the week in Paris could be positive," Jerome Vineria ventures.

For households and businesses

For U.S. households, the main risk would be higher interest rates. Companies will also be affected by the rising cost of credit, but they could also benefit by acting as a hedge against weak states. "Today, many companies appear financially stronger than the most fragile states," Francis Soler edge.

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»COMPUTER GRAPHICS – Who holds the State debts

If prices continue to increase, rising interest rates tend to slow down on its side. The latest results of the Housing Credit Monitoring / CSA published Monday, the average rate charged by banks for getting a home loan rose to 3.90% in July, or 0.04 basis points over that in June.

It's much more at the end of 2010, where it reached a low of 3.27% on average, before rising sharply in the first quarter of 2011. In the early months of the year, interest rates have taken nearly 10 basis points per month, before slowing gradually to rise in the second quarter.

Because the factors that competed so far in the rise in interest rates now seem not to have to play. "The increase began in November 2010 was related to liquidity constraints imposed by the Basel III.To satisfy them, the banks have increased their margins on new loans payday loan lenders. Today, this adjustment – of around 70 points to 100 basis points depending on the establishment – is probably done, "said Michel Mouillart, an economist at Paris X-Nanterre.

Other factors, however, could take over. The cost of money, in particular, could rise because of uncertainties related to the amount of sovereign debt. For the moment, "this factor did not play," said the economist. But it is already expected that the three-month interbank rates and increasing to ten years until 2012, drawing upward those for mortgages. "The movement of rising interest rates should continue," predicts ultimately Eluère Olivier, an economist at Credit Agricole.

Increase the duration of loans

Photo credits: Jean-Christophe Marmara / Le Figaro

EADS multiplies acquisitions. The parent company of Airbus announced Monday that its subsidiary Astrium took possession, for 673 million euros, Vizada, a specialist in satellite services. She took over the participation of the fund Apax Partners.

Vizada, which employs over 700 people and has a turnover of 458 million euros, was born from the merger of satellite communications Norwegian Telenor and France Telecom.It has 200,000 users worldwide, among them "ships of the merchant marine, emergency response agencies, government and military units, media companies, providers of telecommunications services and Internet, as well as 'business aviation, military and civilian, "said EADS.

Supplier of the U.S. government in the airline industry, Vizada has received this year a contract with the U.S. General Service Administration to "ensure access to services for mobile satellite communications to government customers and military payday loan." German and French armies are also among its customers.EADS achieves its fourth acquisition since the beginning of the year and its biggest operation since the acquisition, for 2.75 billion euros in September 2006, the 20% of Britain's BAE Systems in the capital of Airbus .

Reduce its dependence on sales of Airbus

In late June, Eurocopter has completed the acquisition of Vector Aerospace Canada for 450 million euros. Last week, Airbus has purchased the American Metron Aviation, a service provider for air traffic control, for an undisclosed sum. He launched a bid in the amount of 348 million euros in the Danish Satair, a specialist in the supply of aircraft spare parts. "These acquisitions reinforce Astrium, Eurocopter and Airbus in services and in the U.S. market," said Boris Zaïtra, corporate vice president and director of mergers and acquisitions at EADS.

Despite a sales increase of 3% to 7.9 billion euros in the first half and stable at 4.4 billion euros in the second quarter, Lafarge reported income down sharply from 34% to 260 million euros in the first half. The group warned that inflation and exchange rate effects will weigh on annual results. "The sector is still affected by high inflation and the absence of global recovery in developed countries," said Bruno Lafont, CEO of Lafarge, said in a statement.Half-year net income was, indeed, benefited last year, a gain of 160 million euros after selling its 17.28% interest in the Portuguese group Cimpor.

Weighed down by a huge debt of 14 billion euros, the rating agency Standard & Poor's has pushed the note of cement to the level of speculative transmitter – Lafarge claims to be "on track" to meet its debt reduction target of at least two billion euros in 2011. Two weeks ago, the group sold its gypsum in Europe and America in the Belgian Etex to € 1 billion (enterprise value) and they could sell in North America and Asia.In the second quarter, the group achieved 50 million savings in structural costs, $ 100 million since the beginning of the year, in line with the objective of a reduction of at least 200 million in 2011 .

The group still expects an increased demand for cement and provides a market growth between 2% and 5% in 2011 compared to 2010.

Back in the red for the Paris Bourse. At closing, the Cac 40 drops 0.77% to 3812.97 points. Investors are concerned about the United States. The elected representatives of the U.S. Congress again tried Sunday to reach an agreement on raising the debt ceiling, but without success. While the Speaker of the House John Boehner had slammed the door to negotiations with the White House on Friday night, they have continued behind the scenes throughout the weekend between the Democratic allies of President Barack Obama, the Senate majority and their opponents Republicans, who control the House of Representatives. But John Boehner told his troops on Sunday night that no breakthrough had yet been obtained.

The situation becomes very tense nine days of the deadline mentioned by the Treasury before a U.S. default.This morning, this concern has led to a relapse of the Asian markets. For their part, the U.S. markets, which had already ended Friday without direction, changing declined Monday. According to the IMF, the United States may suffer a "severe shock" if the debt ceiling of the federal state was not found in time.

Greece is also in the news: Moody's today lowered the country's sovereign rating of "Caa1" from "It" with a development, saying the country was still facing major challenges medium-term credit.

Oil down

On the currency side, the euro declined slightly against the greenback at 1.4347 dollar dollar in late afternoon. Oil is also down.To 17.30 U.S. a barrel fell by 0.542% to 99.35 dollars, while the gold, he goes back to 0.84% ​​and is trading at 1615 dollars an ounce.

The banking sector in heavy losses

Dexia lost 8.09% to 1.95 euros, Crédit Agricole 5.44% to 8.92 euros, BNP Paribas 4.47% to 46.63 euros and Societe Generale 4.70% to 36.28 euros. Bank stocks suffer after degradation of the note of Greece by Moody's.

Axa (-4.26% to 13.72 euros), while welcoming the agreement reached by EU leaders on Greece, the insurers of the French Federation of Insurance Companies (FFSA) said they consider favorably participation in the project initiative of private investors, as part of the options.

Values ​​to follow

Areva: 0.10% to 25.37 euros, EDF: -0.28% to 27.09 euros

The new president of Areva, Luc Oursel, who succeeded Anne Lauvergeon end of June, will make his first official Monday by hosting one of its plants in the CEO of EDF, Henri Proglio, showing the warming of relations between the two groups. EDF and Areva have signed an agreement at that time technically and commercially, prior to a more ambitious partnership to be signed in September.

JCDecaux: -3 pay day loans.87% to 20.24 euros

JCDecaux was down sharply, after seeing the recommendation on its way down to "hold" against "buy" before, by Citigroup.

Alstom: -0.16% to 39.42 euros

RATP has ordered 66 additional subway trains for more than 300 million euros, of which 200 million will fall into the hands of Alstom Transport, Alstom said in a statement.

Score: -0.59% to 18.44 euros

The reinsurer Scor reveals a growth of 22% at constant exchange rates, the treaty renewals in non-life and specialties of the 320 million of premiums up for renewal in mid-year.

Saint-Gobain: -1.26% to 41.94 euros

The group will buy the British network Build Center and French Brossette in Wolseley, which is the world leader in the distribution of equipment, plumbing and heating.He will spend 145 million pounds (165 million) to Build Center and 186 million euros for Brossette. "These two acquisitions (…) represent a contribution of over one billion euros in sales," says Pierre-André de Chalendar, CEO of Saint-Gobain, said in a statement.

Unibail-Rodamco: -3.44% to 143.88 euros; Klépierre: 0.88% to 27.41 euros

HSBC has initiated coverage of Unibail-Rodamco to "overweight" with a target price of 175 euros and raised its recommendation on Klépierre to "underweight" to "neutral."

LVMH: 1.01% to 130.55 euros

Consob is considering a complaint from an investment fund over the price offered to pay the French to buy the balance of Bulgari, confirmed Sunday a spokesman for the Italian stock market.

Total: -0.48% to 39.26 euros

The oil amounts to ten billion dollars (seven billion euros) of investment needed to develop the oil field north of Moho Bilondo off the coast of the Republic of Congo, said its CEO, Christophe de Margerie.

Valeo: 0.05% to 47.32 euros

The group announced Friday that its U.S. subsidiary Valeo Inc., based in Troy, Michigan, had received a request for information from the U.S. court as part of an antitrust investigation.

Fimalac: 0.07% to 27.84 euros

The group announced a sales increase of 11.9% on a comparable basis to 515.8 million euros in the first nine months of fiscal year 2010-2011.Its subsidiary, the rating agency Fitch Ratings has led to an increase of 11.7% of its turnover over the same period to 401.5 million euros.

After market, Seb and Klépierre publish their half year results, April Group will announce its earnings for the second quarter, Faiveley the first quarter. Mercialys and STMicroelectronics will publish their results for the second quarter.

Pierre-Antoine Dusoulier, the head of Saxo Bank