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Wall Street was unable to string together a fourth consecutive session. The New York Stock Exchange finished lower on Tuesday: according to preliminary figures, the Dow Jones gives 0.68% to 11,405.25 points and the Nasdaq, dominated by technology, 1.26% to 2523.11 points. After opening down, the markets have increased their losses after the meeting, much anticipated, between German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy, Around 20 hours (French time), the Dow Jones lost 0.89% to 11,380 , 46 points after hitting a low of 11,292.63 points. The Nasdaq loose in turn 1.45% to 2518.22 points.

The ads at the end of the Franco-German summit failed to reassure the markets, concerned about the contagion of the crisis of debt in the euro area.Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy called for a "real governance of the euro area", the introduction of golden rule of balancing the budget in national constitutions and a tax on financial transactions. They, however, repeated their opposition to the creation of Eurobonds. These must be the "culmination of a process of integration and not a prerequisite," said Nicolas Sarkozy. For the French head of state, they would, in addition, "serious danger" to the most stable countries such as Germany and France.

After the meeting, European markets ended on a note hesitant. The euro was briefly argued against the greenback before going down. The European currency traded at 1.4402 dollars around 21 hours, down 0.21%, after reaching 1.4471 dollars in the wake of Franco-German proposals.Oil markets, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery closed lower. He lost $ 1.23 to 86.65 dollars. The September Brent sold his part of 0.4%, or 44 cents to 109.47 dollars.

European growth disappoints

The bad mood also follows the publication of European indicators disappointing that send negative signals about the health of the euro area. Germany, European locomotive, reported a surprise slowdown and sharp growth in the second quarter. The entire euro area saw growth of 0.2% after increasing 0.8% in the first quarter.

Two good news though: the rating agency Fitch affirmed the "AAA" rating on U.S. debt, along with a stable outlook. The Federal Reserve also reported industrial production rose higher than expected for the month of July.It advances by 0.9% thanks to the automotive sector and the heat wave that has boosted the use of air conditioners and thus power consumption.

The release of housing starts, down 1.5% in July, but confirmed the slump. The number of building permits has meanwhile Contracted 3.2%. As for import prices, they recorded an unexpected rebound, while export declined.

Values ​​to follow

On the corporate side, Home Depot (5.31% to 33.13 dollars) has issued a profit better than expected in the second quarter, while Wal-Mart (3.87% to 51.95 dollars) recorded a further decline in sales over the same period. The retail giant has nevertheless issued a profit and a turnover up more than 5%.

Agilent Technologies (-2.48% to 36.57 dollars) reported Monday after-hours trading from a profit of $ 330 million, or 92 cents a share, in the third quarter, up 62% The number of Business was up to 1.69 billion.

Berkshire Hathaway (-0.90% to 107.623 dollars) would have taken a stake in the retailer Dollar General (4.94% to 33.78 dollars).

Dell (1.94% to 15.80 dollars) has a higher than expected for deuxtrième quarter. It reached $ 890 million, up 63%. Saks (-4.63% to 8.77 dollars) has warned that he would discuss the fall "with a bit more caution" in light of general concerns about the economic recovery. The group, however, reported a loss of $ 8.4 million in the second quarter, against 32.2 million last year. Its quarterly revenue was also up 13% year on year.

It's the only bright spot in the dark landscape cyclical French: the labor market continued to regain strength. In the second quarter, 68,300 jobs were created in the nonprofit sector. This is 10,000 more than in the first quarter.

The tertiary sector contributes almost exclusively to these creations (57,200 jobs), the industry confirms his recovery: 6600 jobs were created in this sector, according to Insee. This is his second consecutive quarter of growth. "This sector lost jobs every quarter since 2001," says INSEE.

Only government minister to be able to celebrate yesterday, Xavier Bertrand (Labour, Employment, Health) welcomed that "210,600 jobs a year (have) been created." He sees "a positive signal about the vitality of the real economy." This movement is all the more surprising that growth has been sluggish in recent months.

"You have to look at the figure of 0% over the period issued yesterday: considering the annual growth and relating to the last four quarters, we see that the quarterly growth rate is invariably French 0.4%, says Frédéric Gonand, associate professor of economics at Paris Dauphine. This shows that even with 1.6% annual rate, which corresponds to its potential growth, France is creating jobs. "

According to Dares, the index of the basic monthly wage (SMB) increased by 0.6% in the second quarter, representing an increase of 2.1% over one year. This significant increase of basic wages does not mean a sharp increase in the purchasing power of households. In the second quarter, prices rose 0.5% year on year and they operate around 2%.The purchasing power has improved very little, which explains the weakness of consumption in recent months.

Disinflation energy

But-and this is another rare good news in the farm figures released yesterday, according to Insee, the consumer prices fell by 0.4% in July. A decline mainly due balances but also by the expansion of energy prices. Under these conditions, if the job market continues to grow at the same pace as earlier this year, the disposable income of households could improve a little.

"Disinflation energy currently underway should provide some support the purchasing power of households," say economists at Natixis.The main pillar of the French economy will be a little stronger in the second half, provided that the fiscal savings provided by the government do not result in a tax grab too much, the experts continue to Natixis.

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If prices continue to increase, rising interest rates tend to slow down on its side. The latest results of the Housing Credit Monitoring / CSA published Monday, the average rate charged by banks for getting a home loan rose to 3.90% in July, or 0.04 basis points over that in June.

It's much more at the end of 2010, where it reached a low of 3.27% on average, before rising sharply in the first quarter of 2011. In the early months of the year, interest rates have taken nearly 10 basis points per month, before slowing gradually to rise in the second quarter.

Because the factors that competed so far in the rise in interest rates now seem not to have to play. "The increase began in November 2010 was related to liquidity constraints imposed by the Basel III.To satisfy them, the banks have increased their margins on new loans payday loan lenders. Today, this adjustment – of around 70 points to 100 basis points depending on the establishment – is probably done, "said Michel Mouillart, an economist at Paris X-Nanterre.

Other factors, however, could take over. The cost of money, in particular, could rise because of uncertainties related to the amount of sovereign debt. For the moment, "this factor did not play," said the economist. But it is already expected that the three-month interbank rates and increasing to ten years until 2012, drawing upward those for mortgages. "The movement of rising interest rates should continue," predicts ultimately Eluère Olivier, an economist at Credit Agricole.

Increase the duration of loans

Photo credits: Jean-Christophe Marmara / Le Figaro

The New York Stock Exchange opened slightly higher Thursday, supported by a better than expected in the United States and hopes of resolving debt crises, despite disappointing figures on U.S. employment: the Dow Jones gained 0 , 16% and the Nasdaq 0.15%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is 19.75 points to 12,591.66 points and the Nasdaq, dominated by technology, 4.30 points to 2818.53 points.

On Wednesday, the New York Stock Exchange completed a small drop in session hesitant, catching her breath waiting for concrete solutions to the debt crises in the U.S. and euro area.

President Barack Obama received Wednesday several leaders of Congress and the White House has once again expressed confidence in a political solution to the crisis of debt before August 2, to avoid a default."I expect us to find a solution," the president said in an interview with local TV KMBC Kansas City, renewing his call for compromises from both sides, whether its Democratic allies or his Republican opponents.

As on other major exchanges worldwide, operators will also have their eyes riveted to Brussels where 13 hours started at the extraordinary summit of the leaders of the euro area. The latter will try to find a solution on a new plan of aid to Greece to avoid contagion of debt to other countries deemed weak in the euro area. According to draft conclusions of the EU summit, the conditions of loans to Greece would be reduced. The idea of ​​bank tax was abandoned.

Busy schedule

On the foreign exchange market, the euro rebounded sharply against the dollar Thursday, buoyed by the draft agreement at the summit of the euro area in Brussels. Around 1330 GMT (1530 Paris), the single European currency was worth 1.4322 dollars against 1.4212 dollars around 2100 GMT Wednesday, after getting off to 1.4139 to 10:30 GMT. The euro climbed also clearly against the Japanese currency at 112.63 yen against 111.94 yen yesterday.

Oil prices were moving up slightly at the opening in New York, the market welcomed with relief the first details of the draft agreement between leaders of the euro area to meet the debt crisis cash advance today.Around 1:15 p.m. GMT on the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery was trading at 98.84 dollars, up 44 cents from the previous day.

On the macroeconomic front in the U.S., the day will begin with the weekly jobless claims. They proved disappointing: the number of new unemployment benefit recipients back to 418,000 people during the week of July 10 to 16, the figures Aoccdrnig Department of Labor. Analysts had forecast 410,000 new registrations.

Values ​​to follow

The side of values, the publications will continue today before the opening of Wall Street including Travelers, Pepsico, Morgan Stanley, United Continental and AT & T.

Investors will pay particular attention to Intel as Thursday.The world of microprocessors released after the market close, quarterly results better than expected. Net income progresséde 2% to 3 billion, a record turnover, up 22% to 13.1 billion. The title loses 1.78% to 22.58 dollars.

For its part, American Express Financial Group exceeded market expectations by announcing Wednesday an increase in earnings in the second quarter from 31% to $ 1.3 billion, thanks to higher costs to its customers on the cards crédit.Le of revenue has in turn increased 12% to $ 7.6 billion, above the 7.35 billion expected by analysts. The title earns 1.42% to 52.83 dollars.

For its part, the distribution group online eBay issued a net profit of 283.4 million dollars for the second quarter, down 31% due to the acquisition of marketing services GSI Commerce. The action wins 2.68% to 34.06 dollars.

Always on the side of values, Google (0.83% to 600.28 dollars). would grow in telephony. The Internet giant has begun discussions to buy the specialist in mobile phone technology InterDigital says the Wall Street Journal. The newspaper said the interest of the Internet giant for InterDigital comes in the wake of its failure on the redemption of certificates of the Canadian telecom equipment supplier Nortel. InterDigital, with a market capitalization of $ 2.8 billion, he is studying a possible sale.

Christophe de Margerie confirmed and signed. In mid-April, the boss of Total has caused an uproar by saying that the super two euros per liter was something inevitable.This time the statements are more subtle but no less firm: on the margins of economic meetings in Aix-en-Provence, the head of the French company said that "the price (of oil) rather than being on the rise, so do not expect long-term prices (fuel) down. "

The issue is very clear to Christophe de Margerie, "If it does not reflect the increase in oil prices, the box runs." Under these conditions, while going on holiday will intensify in the coming days, the price the pump are about to take four to five cents extra.

The decision of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IEA) on 23 June, to tap into strategic reserves to lower prices will have had a very limited impact."The effect was instantaneous – crude has fallen from 115 to 107 dollars, almost four cents less at the pump – but the fundamentals of the market quickly regained the upper hand," said Jean-Louis Schilansky, President of the French Union of Petroleum Industries (Ufip).

$ 200 a barrel

In this case, is the increase in demand on prices. While the IEA has estimated that the outbreak in the spring classes began to slow global consumption, but the 90 million barrels per day (bpd) is no longer so distant. Moreover, if growth continues, the cap could be gone by the end of the year, according to the scenarios of the Agency.

Meanwhile, it is unclear how far prices will rise at the pump. At the end of last week, the Brent crude in London closed above $ 118."The courses tend gradually to 120 dollars," said Jean-Louis Schilansky which states that within a few days fuel prices should find their levels of early June. An average of 1.50 euro for unleaded 95 and 1.33 euro for a liter of diesel. As for the bar that fateful two euros per liter, it corresponds to the experts at a price of 200 dollars a barrel. "We still have some respite," said Jean-Louis Schilansky.

In this issue so sensitive fuel prices – especially in summer – the government continues to be very careful. A few days ago, they had encouraged retailers to pass quickly down the barrel instantly.This time, they should encourage stakeholders – oil and supermarkets – to smooth the rise in crude.

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A further step for the tax on financial transactions tax known as "Tobin". The European Commission will propose its creation as part of its next Buget for the period 2014-2020. She hopes to raise up to 50 billion euros per year, according to European sources cited by Reuters.

Another major proposal for the new budget: funding for the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) would be frozen at their current level of 370 billion euros, the sources said.Taking into account inflation and the general evolution of European finance, this means that the share of the CAP in the budget of the European Union (EU) will naturally decrease.

Taken up by several Member States since the crisis, including Nicolas Sarkozy, the idea of ​​tax on financial transactions developed by the Nobel Prize in economics James Tobin is considered a credible solution to help poor countries fight against global climatique.Son rate should be moderate, at 0.05%.

Associations, however, immediately responded to the proposal from the European Commission. More and AIDS Coalition and accusing the EU executive to "divert [the tax on financial transactions] to his own benefit."The tax "is supposed to serve the South, where the financial crisis has already resulted in the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people, and still threatens the lives of millions more, including many AIDS patients," said Bruno Spire , President and director of AIDS Coalition PLUS, in a statement. "And now Europe is proposing that the money goes any poor countries, but in his own pocket? It is a scandal. "

The austerity budget of Italy to be approved Thursday also include a 0 overnight pay day loans.15% tax on financial transactions.

"The EU as a first step"

Ten days ago, the Commission President José Manuel Barroso had already discussed the proposed tax on financial transactions in a letter to EU leaders. "The Commission completes its impact and present a formal legislative proposal after the summer," wrote José Manuel Barroso.

"Our analysis shows that there is a strong case to decide whether a tax in the financial sector in the EU as a first step," he said, assuring that the Commission will "in parallel, continue to work for a global agreement on a tax on financial transactions. "

Supported by the Franco-German Cup, the tax "Tobin" has been a joint proposal of the French Socialist Party and the German SPD in their respective parliaments.The resolution was adopted in mid-June by the French deputies but less successful in the Bundestag, where she was referred to committee.

According to the French deputies, the EU legislative proposal should include "a tax on all financial transactions of 0.05%", including all stock exchange transactions and non-stock, securities, bonds and derivatives, as well as all transactions in the foreign exchange market to the tax base and revenue allocation to each of the national budget. "

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The "minicanicule" announced for the next 48 hours will probably only reinforce the trend: "With the good weather that prevailed in France, beer consumption has registered an increase of 2.7% over the first months of year, "said Pascal Chevremont, managing director of France Brewers, whose 76 members account for three quarters of the beer produced in France. The increase is mixed following market segments: + 0.6% for cafés, hotels, restaurants and up 3.7% in supermarkets.

The warm spring and very dry, however, is not very good news for the sector. He has had a devastating effect on crops of malting barley."With the rain in recent days, there may be good surprises, but overall we expect yields down 55 quintals per hectare or so, a decrease of 10 to 20% compared to Last year, "Christophe fears Grison, president of the network Farre (Forum of farming environmentally friendly), himself a farmer of malting barley in the Oise.

Especially since the quality risk, too, to be less. "The water did not fall at the right time, we expect to see the analysis made after the harvest on the eating quality and protein content of barley, says Pascal Chevremont. Decommissioning of feed barley malting barley should be more important. "

Christmas Beer

The offer should be hexagonal in decline. Yet France is the second largest exporter of barley after Russia cash advances pay day loan.The price of this raw material, essential to the manufacture of beer, will therefore remain at high levels. According to the latest monthly bulletin of economic FranceAgriMer (the body responsible for collecting data on agricultural crops in France), prices have more than doubled in one year, more than 235 euros a tonne. They even reached in early May 320 euros per tonne on the futures market Euronext.

For the moment, "the brewers are working on stocks three months ago," said Michel Portier for his part, Director of Agritel, a company specializing in risk management in the prices of agricultural commodities. So no risk of immediate price increase of the half at the counter.

The first harvest of barley into malt today – it takes between 150 and 200 grams of malt to make a liter of beer – will not be in the glasses before the end of the year, with Christmas beer.

"But ultimately, it will have an impact on the final product increased barley as packaging, another important component of cost, also recorded significant increases," warned Pascal Chevremont. Tariff negotiations ahead sandwiched between the purchasing of large retailers – which sells three-quarters of the beer – and the four major brewers, who control more than half the world market: AB InBev (Leffe), SAB Miller, Heineken and Carlsberg (Kronenbourg).

While the crucial talks between government and private creditors of Greece continued the last few hours across Europe, they rose sharply in Paris. Reportedly, the French Treasury and financial institutions have agreed on the night of Friday to Saturday on a proposal that they hope to win their European partners now. Important first step, a highly anticipated meeting of the IIR (International Institute of Finance), which groups 400 banks worldwide, will be held on Monday in Rome.

It will be remembered, European governments have launched negotiations Wednesday with the holders of Greek debt. They are seeking a contribution of banks, insurers and other pension funds to the tune of 30 billion euros, backed by a new extension of Europe and the IMF to Greece.So far, the proposal on the table was simple: the voluntary, private creditors agreed to reinvest in due proportion the debts repaid by Athens over the next three years in new loans Greek to 5 years. It is the "rollover". However, private capital, especially German, had requested that these new loans are guaranteed in one way or another by Europe. But Angela Merkel, German Chancellor, refused this demand, which is to transfer the responsibility of the public an additional part of the burden.

Hence the impasse. The problem for private financiers, is to pay a state that nothing says it will be out of trouble in five years, the plan has expired. Of course, under pressure from governments, banks and insurers could be convinced.But specifically, if the process is not perceived as voluntary, rating agencies may raise the flag of the "default" and the plan falls overboard because the ECB can no longer accept sovereign debt and stigmatized in the refinancing of Greek banks cash advance no fax.The French proposal is a parade, making the "rollover" both more attractive and relevant to them and to Athens, by lengthening maturities.

New loans to 30 years

In addition to the original proposal, a working group led by BNP Paribas, in fact, imagined an alternative, opening the opportunity to reinvest only 70% of amounts received in connection with the Greek borrowing fell 50% are allocated to Greek new loans issued this time in 30 years as to 20%, they are placed on what the financial call a "zero coupon", ie a fund invested in securities of high quality self-reinforcing through then cumulation of interests: the piggy bank somehow secures new borrowing Greek, as would have government guarantees.According to the discussions, these borrowings could be long carry an interest rate equivalent to that of Greece pays vis-à-vis its "rescuers" public, with the addition of a variable interest rate likely to be linked to an economic indicator Greek, such as GDP.

In any case, this alternative would yield less per creditor only 50% returned to the Treasury Greek but is likely to attract more people. And above all, by providing funding for 30 years, she pushes the horizon in part refunds for Athens. The French solution began circulating in the corridors of the European Council on Friday. "We received an initial favorable response," says a close case.

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Saturday, Ali will start at 19:10 Baddou the start of his show The Big Mag, scheduled on Saturday in the clear on Canal +, until August 27. Four years after arriving on the pay channel, the journalist is thus for the first time give his own TV show. "The Great Mag is 52 minutes, mainly of reports around the world, and who give themselves the ambition to tell the world in which we live. There are also meetings with personalities that have marked the year just ended, "said Ali Baddou. For the first issue, The Great Mag return among other Ali Agca, the man who tried to kill Pope John Paul II in 1981, and the phenomenon of the gilded youth of Shanghai imitating the codes of the heroes of the film Fast and Furious. Before proposing a meeting with Nicolas Anelka."For the first time he speaks for this great moment in South Africa in the locker room with Raymond Domenech," said the journalist to seeing you on June 25 to determine the version of football.

Beyond this project, the journalist will use the summer to prepare for his return at the helm of the special edition, on which it will replace Bruce Toussaint, recruited to lead the morning of Europe 1. Renamed New Edition, "the show will change deep enough, details columnist Grand Journal de Michel Denisot. We will keep the anchor in the news, but telling it through those who live it. The show will host a lot of guests and witnesses who will say, on various subjects and varied, how they perceive the news. " Is for this revised version, a format more focused on the testimony and culture. The cast of writers, however, should not change."Ariel Wizman, Daphne Burki, Anne-Elisabeth Lemoine, Nicolas Domenach be faithful to the position low interest rate personal loans."

Hearing no targets

So we said leaving for France 2, the host denies "rumors" and talks about his choice to accept the slice of mid-day on Canal + in 2008 after refusing the morning of the chain, already replacing Bruce Toussaint. "I already went out three years of morning radio, so I did not even discuss the project. There, it's very different, it's a great challenge, especially a presidential year where there is all to do. " Last year, the issue of Bruce Toussaint realized an average 4.4% audience share, or about 590,000 faithful daily. A difficult challenge? "Right now, we talk primarily of the content," says Ali Baddou, denies having received, at the moment, the objectives of hearing from Canal +.

In addition to these two programs by signing the rise of the chain, the journalist will continue to be the joker of Michel Denisot the presentation of the Grand Journal, although it will cease its daily columns on the flagship show of Canal +. He imagines in designated successor? "It really is not there. I replace it, it looks as I do … It's normal, it has nothing to do with the future. " Meanwhile, the man who started his career as a journalist at France Culture (he hosted the morning of the station from 2006 to 2009 and the weekly Le Rendezvous policies) gives clear priority to its television operations. "I pause my radio activities next year," said Ali Baddou at First Attempts to raise the weekly meeting that he still animated at France Culture.

Pending the arrival of his eagerly awaited first smartphone with the Windows operating system Phone at the end of the year, and production "mass" in 2012, we have to wait markets and customers. That Stephen Elop, president of Nokia strived to do during the CommunicAsia exhibition in Singapore. "Our main strategy in the field of smartphones is to focus on the Windows phone," he said, for its next billion mobile.

For Nokia, it is urgent. Last month, the group issued a warning on its sales and results, giving even to make predictions, as the period is difficult.Its sales continue to decline, it would hold more than 13.1% of the smartphone market in the first quarter against 25% a year earlier.

But maintaining a strong presence of the Symbian operating system in its range and choice of Microsoft at the expense of Android leave many doubts cast. While the number of applications available on a smartphone is a paramount requirement, the Finn is not in the race. It strives for the time to catch up in smartphones, highlighting the N9 in Singapore, expected to outdo the iPhone and Android to its competitors. To do so, Nokia boasts jumble "three home pages," his "handy user interface," "better voice quality," connectivity … The N9 (under platform Meego) is also equipped with a NFC connection, which enables contactless payments.With this feature, shows that Nokia is still able to board the train for a new technology, not to watch the competition from without it.

With the launch of three new models (N8, E7, C7 and C6-01 will be sold in July) Nokia has pushed the highlight of its commitment to Symbian OS. These terminals will be equipped with the new update system Symbian Anna. Novelty of this new version, it will be downloadable for those who have already bought one of these phones. And over the next twelve months, Nokia will market up to ten new smartphones based on Symbian. From there to imagine that the Finnish and protects against possible setbacks of its U.S. partner, there is only one step.It also reaffirms its loyalty and its customers, accustomed to its operating system, and that it might lose by abandoning it completely. Hence the idea to favor a smooth transition.

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