Live News

The draft budget for Social Security in 2012 began his career tonight in the Chamber of the Assembly. The text provides € 17.6 billion deficit of the general system (Old Age Solidarity Fund included), after 22 billion this year and 28 billion in 2010.

The examination of the text in the Committee gave an idea of ​​the issues that should be hotly debated in the majority, and amendments likely. The major themes: the subjugation of parental leave benefits (CLCA) to the CSG, the reduction in benefits for loss of work and the fight against fraud.

On this point, several amendments of the UMP Dominique Tian were approved by the Committee on Social Affairs. "I support and I ask the group to vote, says the boss of UMP deputies, Christian Jacob.They stem from the report of the assessment mission and control of social security (MECSS), adopted unanimously, "left and right confused.

The first is to redefine the concept of "single person", which comes into play in the payment of benefits as the single parent allowance (API, now part of RSA). "That is to reverse the burden of proof. Anyone applying for the allocation should show that it is only to take on household expenses: rent, electricity, etc.. "

Another measure supported by Christian Jacob, the suspension of all benefits in the event of obtaining a number Safely from forged identity documents."Credit unions did not have that opportunity, which of course added to criminal sanctions," said the president of the UMP group.

Recalculation of benefits sick

Former Minister for Family, Christian Jacob is also aligned with the Committee on Social Affairs to refuse to submit to the 6 payday loans.2% CSG few hundred euros a month if paid parental leave. The measure, sought by the government, must report 140 million per year.

Another controversial issue up within the majority: the new method of calculating sick leave benefits, which reduces the amount of about 6% to a gain of 220 million.The issue will be discussed at today's meeting of the UMP group.

Additional tools to fight against fraud they relate enough to give these provisions without widening the deficit? Yves Bur questioned, at least in the short term, these tools put the time to bear fruit.

"The fraud MECSS evaluates the single parent allowance in the range from 160 to 300 million euros a year, and those arising from forgery to 1.3 billion, said Christian Jacob. By definition, quantify the extent of fraud is difficult and estimates are wide.But it is important symbolically, when efforts are required from all the French, to hit hard on fraud. "

Yves Bur adds other proposals to generate more savings: lower third of the threshold for taxation of benefits breach of contract work (out of court for dismissal …) to 72,700 euros, or launch tenders for the supply of generic drugs and drive down the price as well. He hopes to gain large enough to give up the measure on sick leave … while fearing that the government, looking for additional savings, retains all final.

ALSO READ:

"Safely: the deficit reduced to 14 billion euros in 2012

"Fraud Allowance: 90% of recovered industrial

LVMH keen interest in crocodiles. The luxury group buys Heng Long, one of the five largest tanneries in the world of skin of these amphibians. LVMH guarantees its supply of crocodile leather quality that will serve to make its products more upscale, like her Louis Vuitton bags designed by Sofia Coppola or some accessories valued at Dior.

Tanning, led by Koh family since its inception in 1950, is listed on the Singapore Stock Exchange, it should be removed in the coming weeks.

This will be done via a holding company dedicated HLI Holding. It will acquire all shares of Heng Long to 160.8 million Singapore dollars, or about 92 million euros. LVMH will become majority shareholder of Heng Long, holding 51% stake. The Koh family is committed to reinvesting in the HLI holding up the remaining 49%.The Director General and Executive Director, members of the fourth generation Koh, will remain in place for at least the next five years.

The tannery produces between 200,000 and 300,000 skins per year, including crocodiles from Porosus high in Asia. Despite the change of ownership, it will continue to supply customers other than LVMH.

Heng Long is riding high. Its sales surged in the first half of this year to 36.3 million Singapore dollars (20.8 million), it was up over 50%. During the same period, the net result of the tannery was even more than doubled.

The European Central Bank keeps its cool. Faced with signs of recession in the eurozone and while a leading European bank, Dexia, is faltering, the ECB has decided not to ease monetary policy. It has left its main interest rate unchanged at 1.50%. A level considered "low" by the Board of Governors of the Central Bank.

At its last monthly press conference as president of the monetary institution, Jean-Claude Trichet said the ECB expects inflation "clearly above 2% in the coming months," before descending. One way to tell between the lines that interest rates are unlikely to be lowered over the next two months. Inflation in the euro zone peaked at 3% in September, a point above the objective of the ECB.

Still, the market calls for a rate cut."It reflects a lower rate of 0.5", observe the economists Societe Generale. Waiting judged "crazy" in the short term by the Luxembourg member of the Governing Council of the ECB, Yves Mersch.

The case for a rate cut was not, however, rule out of hand. For if the decision was consensus among the governors of the institution, the discussions were long, admitted Jean-Claude Trichet: "There was a discusion about the pros and cons of a rate cut or a maintenance of rates. After this long discussion, which was, I would say, as thorough and comprehensive as possible, we decided by consensus to maintain the rates. "

Some analysts point to a worrying season looming disaster on the front of the activity in the eurozone."The risks to growth, was talking about last month the President of the European Central Bank Jean-Claude Trichet, materialize," are economists at BNP Paribas CIB. In addition, "forecast the ECB behind sluggish growth at year end," they add online pay day loans.

Semi-surprise

The inaction of the ECB, however, is only half surprised. Jean-Claude Trichet, whose every word, in its public statements, is weighed, has not hinted in September that the ECB cut rates. Moreover, "the guardian of the euro zone will wait to act to have more evidence that inflation and growth will slow," noted economist of Nomura.

Observers expect more on a rate cut later this year. "Jean-Claude Trichet is expected to set the stage Thursday in a future rate cut in the next three months," analysts at Nomura advance.

Measures for banks

Taking note of the tense situation of European banks, the ECB launched a series of measures. It provides two refinancing operations unlimited volume of about a year in October and December. This exceptional instrument had not been asked since December 2009.

Jean-Claude Trichet also announced a relaunch of the repurchase program bonds. This will cover 40 billion euros between November 2011 and October 2012. The "bonds" are essentially backed securities real estate, and essential to the survival of many specialized banks in Europe. The purpose of all these operations is "to ensure that banks in the euro area are not limited in regard to liquidity," said French.

The ECB has also called for a recapitalization of institutions in the euro area. They must "do whatever is necessary to strengthen their balance sheets," pleaded Jean-Claude Trichet, using it for their profits, or paying wages "moderate".

ALSO READ:

"Growth in Europe will continue to slow

Many companies have awarded the famous "dividend premium against" backwards. And in fact, the amounts paid are far from the expectations of the government, says a study by Deloitte from the first returns of negotiations in companies. As Labour Minister, Xavier Bertrand, was on the table before the payment of a premium of 700 euros per employee in companies that have paid dividends on the rise, the real turn around more than 300 euros. As for the maximum amount paid, it tops out at 600 euros.

Two reasons. The first is that the premium desired by Nicolas Sarkozy to "restore the purchasing power of employees in times of recovery," has been perceived by most companies as an additional constraint than an opportunity to motivate their troops.The premium has indeed added to the devices sharing the existing value, such as profit-sharing, mandatory for companies with over 50 employees who make a profit. "This is even more disturbing that the incentive for the prisoner has recently been tightened," says Emmanuelle Rivez-Domont, a lawyer in employment law at the firm Jones Day.

The other factor is the economic context. "Uncertainty room makes companies cautious," says Philippe Burger, a partner at Deloitte. The evolution of the economic situation is also evident throughout the negotiations. "Before the trouble was and he threw in the financial markets, companies thought given bonuses of around 500-600 euros. Today, the discussions revolve more around 150 euros to 200 euros per employee, "says Philip Burger.The crisis reduced the premium to a trickle.

Wage increases slightly affected

Some companies, such as Rhodia, were more generous than others. But it should not enjoy these raw numbers, without putting them in connection with the incentive policy, participation or wage increase of the company, the consultant warns. "Some companies had the tools to share value added very generous, and that worked well. Explain what they have paid premiums less important, "said he.

The study also brings its share of surprises. The dividend premium against does not seem to negatively impacted as wages were concerned that the trade unions. While most companies recognize that its influence is not neutral, only 10% of them say they have reduced the envelope increases the amount of the premium.And they are more than 60% to estimate its impact on wages has been small.

Companies have until 31 October to agree on the amount of the premium, or they are liable to criminal sanction. Evidence that firms do not rush, only one in two has already ended its negotiations on the subject. "Given the mandatory nature of these discussions, and urgency, companies are simple, says the consultant. They also generally a fixed amount equal to each employee. But if the premium is sustained, they could eventually refine their criteria for distribution. "

The market decline occurred in August and September did go up in smoke the equivalent of 216 billion euros over the market value of CAC 40 companies since January 1. During the one day of 22 September, falling 5.25% of the benchmark index of the Paris Stock Exchange has removed 40 billion euros, as much as the market capitalization of the size groups of EDF and L'Oreal!

Today, all forty major French companies weighed on the stock exchange the equivalent of 794 billion euros no fax cash advances. This figure may seem high to the uninitiated, but it is actually little more than the book value of assets of companies entering the CAC 40.The fall in prices has reached such proportions that the largest industrial groups in the rating on the stock exchange deal at the price of factories, stocks of goods or land on which are built warehouses or stores.

"If your forget you Papi, did you not understand!" This is the slogan that the Feast of grandfathers proudly looks for Sunday, October 2. This annual event occurred in 2008 reflects the growing weight What grandparents grandmothers are celebrated in France on the first Sunday in March since 1987 not only in the family hierarchy but also in the population. In fact, 50% of those age 55 have at least one small child bad credit personal loan lenders. "Women are becoming grandmothers at 54 years on average, while men are becoming grandparents at age 56," says Sophie Schmitt, founder and CEO of Seniosphere, a consulting firm in strategy and marketing on the target of baby Boomers and seniors.

Poster of the 2011 edition of the Festival of grandfathers. DR.

The French have never been so pessimistic. A new study paints a bleak picture of the mindset of our citizens. A 88%, they are worried about the situation of their country. A 76%, they are also for their personal situation. "The opinion wins on several subjects, as if the French were more likely to want to stay out of the system," said Vincent Leclabart, head of the agency Australia and sponsor of a survey by TNS Sofres on the relationship between advertising and society.

"We are increasingly optimistic that the country itself," said Emmanuel Rivière, director of strategy at TNS Sofres opinion. But here, the curves converge dangerously pessimistic. The "pessimistic" and "pessimistic" for their personal circumstances have never been numerous. There have been two peaks in the past decade.In 2005, after the "no" to the referendum on the European Constitutional Treaty, and in 2008, due to post-election disillusionment. But after the fall of Lehman Brothers in September 2008, the financial crisis has clouded the picture further. This did not stop to think the French in 2009, consciously or not, the worst was over. They began to hope again. Only the current crisis of debt, at a time when unemployment rises and where growth vanishes, again plunging morale.

The study lists four stalls. In addition to the pessimism, the French won by a malaise that affects both their purchasing power and their relationship to politics and marketing. "The urge to spend is progressing, but the means are lacking, creating a frustration," said Vincent Leclabart. 56% of French people say and do not earn enough to live as they wish.Worse, four out of ten live hard and 27% admitted to frequently or permanently deprived for financial reasons.

63% indifferent and phobia

"These numbers are very important for a developed country, says Vincent Leclabart. A section of the population picks seriously. "This, in a few months of democratic maturity important for the country. But for the French political life is still boring to 42%. And they do not trust politicians to redress France.

In their world of consumption as the French drop. For the first time since the inception of the study eight years ago, the indifferent and opposed to the model "consummatory" the majority (63%). If love remains stable for brands, consumers believe that companies run to them and not their customers."It's about relationship, not product quality," says Vincent Leclabart. The French judge brands more invasive and less entertaining or convincing. Harshest techniques marketing are those who no longer want to spend, even if they can afford. A quarter of French would be disillusioned and when the poor are themselves the "unsubscribe", living hard and having more desire. The study concluded that "policies and brands do not seem to have changed relational mode. At a time when everyone theoretically has the means to express themselves, the opposite is often felt. "

During the weekend, Moody's and the three banks involved have declined to make any comment.

The Perfect Storm market, this change of note, even anticipated, will be a blow to those banks seeking to reassure investors about their ability to refinance. The climate is harmful: the action of Societe Generale, the most attacked by the markets, has lost 56% since January 1, BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole and 37%, 43%. The European banking index at the same time dropped by 35%.

Troika in Athens

The tension is escalated Friday when the very orthodox chief economist at the European Central Bank (ECB), the German Jürgen Stark, resigned to show his disagreement with the assistance provided by the Mint of the fragile the euro area, including Italy and Spain, as a redemption of their bonds on the market.To make matters worse, banks are reluctant to lend to each other. Deposits from day to day banking in the euro area with the European Central Bank (ECB) are at record levels.

This week, representatives of the troika (EU, IMF and ECB), to oversee the accounts of Greece, it will return. They had left unexpectedly in early September, saying that Athens had not fulfilled its promises in terms of privatization and economic reforms. The Greek government has given additional pledges Sunday and EU Commissioner Olli Rehn said he was confident in the prospect of an agreement by the end of the month. Time is short indeed: Greece is in dire need of approval from the troika to receive a new tranche of EUR 8 billion taken from the first aid plan in 2010. A refusal would mean the default.Banks that have lent money, would suffer, while heavy losses.

In this context, the debate rages about whether European banks, which hold their balance sheets in packages of loans to countries in fragile states in the euro area are adequately capitalized.

August 27, Christine Lagarde, the executive director of the IMF, had felt it was "urgent" that the European financial institutions reinforce with new capital. Saturday, it reduced his remarks, adding that the figure of 200 billion euro recapitalization needs of European banks was only a preliminary estimate "under discussion" …

ALSO READ:

"States should they come to the rescue of banks?

Worn since last May by the strong current created by the bursting of the "case DSK", the national daily general news continue to surge. In June, France paid the dissemination of Figaro, which keeps its place as the first national daily, has increased by 2.68% over the same month of 2010, the World 2.06% and Liberation of 0.80%, according to monthly reports filed by publishers to OJD.

The data disclosed by the monitoring body of the press in France also show that only three titles, which is in addition the business daily Les Echos, finally take their game in the first half. From January to June, the spread paid France's Liberation, headed since February by Nicolas Demorand has increased by 4.97% over the same period last year, reaching 118,416 copies.The World has gained 2.66% to 293,650 copies. The media group controlled by the trio "BNP" (Pierre Berge, Xavier Niel and Matthew Pigasse) announced Friday that he expected an operating profit in 2011. In the first half, the group Le Monde "reported an operating profit of 2.3 million euros," he said. For its part, Le Figaro, which prepares a modernization of its formula to the end of September, has remained in the lead with a paid circulation of 326,490 copies, France, an increase of 1.21%.As for the special daily Les Echos group LVMH, the increase was 1.49% (121,956 copies).

Sharp decline in "France-Soir"

In contrast, all other securities of national daily press recede in the first six of the year: -7.53% for equipment (273,157 copies), -5.12% for La Tribune (65 445 ex.) – 3.69% for Le Parisien (290 690 ex.) -3.04% for Today in France (159 291 ex.) and -2.09% for the Cross (95 669 ex.). The fall of the highest returns to France-Soir that loses -12.10% to 63,741 copies. The title was placed last Monday in backup process for four months by the Commercial Court of Paris. Controlled by Alexander Pugachev, France-Soir has achieved a turnover of 17 million euros in 2010 against 9.6 million in 2009. At the same time, operating income totaled a loss to -31 million euros (-12.9 million against in 2009).The first half of 2011, its sales totaled 6.1 million euros for an operating result of -12.8 million, according to data reported earlier this week by its shareholder.

ALSO READ:

"France-Soir: four months to change the skin

Partially back on the device exemption from overtime? This is one of strong measures to which the Prime Minister would consider as part of austerity measures he is about to announce Wednesday. In any case, it would have given Monday to Jean-Claude Mailly, general secretary of FOR, it has had a long line as part of budget preparation for 2012. "Francois Fillon told me that his services reflected on an application of exemptions from whistle to the level of overtime done," says the secretary general of TF. In other words, the relief granted to businesses would be decreasing with the number of overtime worked.

Such a reform would be a way to go very smoothly on a system condemned by unions but emblematic of the early five-year term of Nicolas Sarkozy.It would also bring hundreds of millions of euros in state coffers – the contribution holiday costs more than three billion a year to Social Security – without too much strain on the purchasing power of employees. It is ultimately the only confidence that François Fillon was permitted. "It was not for him to test a range of measures," says one of his advisers. Most of the time, the Prime Minister has therefore merely listen to what his interlocutors have to say.

"Protecting Growth"

Jacques Voisin was the first to meet Sunday with the prime minister. The chairman of the CFTC asked François Fillon that the measures he is about to take are "consistent with the growth and equitable" and they have no "impact on employment and social minima ".Jean-Claude Mailly for its "push" two major points in his eyes: "the preservation of public services and the protection of collective action," such as tax benefits to the issuance of food stamps or the implementation of complementary health.

In his meeting, François Chérèque for his part stressed "the need to implement measures of social support to employees and businesses to avoid blockage of the economy." The leader of the CFDT has once again required the creation of an additional tax bracket for the highest income or the conditioning of exemptions from VAT and social security to the requirements on employment and wages.The Prime Minister, who undertook to study these proposals, agreed that it was "important to protect growth, small businesses and employment, and support the most disadvantaged," reports the CFDT, which "oppose any questioning of social benefits for savings."

After discussing the budgets of social security and local authorities, François Fillon has finally confirmed Laurence Parisot, the president of MEDEF, it would be "very attentive to SMEs and business conditions."