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The Minister of Labour has acknowledged Sunday that all the experts were predicting for weeks: the goal set before the summer, to reach an unemployment rate of 9% at the end of the year is abandoned, postponed indefinitely even die because of the sharp decline observed for some time on the job market. For two reasons. Not only the number of unemployed who registered in the past five months employment center jumped from 111,400 in Class A (job seekers have not worked at all) and 136,700 in ABC (including those who have been active reduced).

Simplify the short-

But Xavier Bertrand has also confirmed that the figures for the newly unemployed at the end of October 2011, published Monday, "will not be good." Will not like those last two months of 2011, "because of a crisis that continues and intensifies at times on the ground"."There are 20,000 job seekers that could quickly get out of unemployment," promises Xavier Bertrand, who still intends to require companies subcontracting work, including automotive, better take into account the consequences of their choices on the activity and the use of subcontractors.

Themes of the presidential campaign

The Minister of Labour will also make an order to "simplify the mechanisms of short" made in 2008 in order to "keep the company employees rather than fire them, and train them." Xavier Bertrand also wants to up "for a permanent interim" to secure their jobs.

In the medium term, the Minister of Labour also suggests some topics that should find their place in the presidential campaign.

With the rise of mobile phones, plus any hotel guest does call from his room. A loss for the hotel, which charges sometimes indecent communications with margins. Some have found a solution to compensate for the shortfall: charge for access to Internet.

"60% of the hotel offer the Web in their facility to their customers, providing Mark Watkins, president of Coach Omnium, research firm specializing in tourism. For now, about half of the hotels are equipped with pay around 5 euros per hour. Two out of three customers accept when they have no choice, but they find it outrageous. This is not a money problem. For them, it's petty. "

Paradoxically, economy hotels tend to offer the connection and it is the high-end hotels that charge the most expensive.

Olivier Cousin risk 40,000 euro fine. His crime: entering the word "Anjou Cabernet Franc" on simple organic table wines, the ones he produced in his area of ​​Martigné-Briand (Maine-et-Loire). Unbearable for an approach advocates the designation of origin (AOC) Anjou. They are however difficult to blame Olivier Cousin lack of attachment to their land. This strain Angevin, ecology freak, follower of harvesting by hand and horses love it so much because he refuses herbicides, sulfur and yeast. This is because the same AOC respected, he said, so little of nature (by allowing the addition of sugar and acid, even for the vintage enjoying a good climate!) He slammed the door, six years ago.

Las. Cousin may well sell organic wine at the best restaurants, the law is against it. "The AOC Anjou is protected by decree.We fight every day to defend our demarcated areas, "says Patrice Laurendeau, president of the Federation of Anjou wine. On the Internet, many blogs Cousin support and a petition was launched to the attention of the authorities.

The AOC, however, is not always the enemy of the bio. Throughout France, AOC wine producers there are already converted, along with other winemakers. From 2009 to 2010, the organic vineyard area has increased by 33%. As to represent 6.2% of the total area of ​​vines, and perhaps "10% in 2012," according to the Association of Independent Winegrowers France.

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29.9 billion euros. This is the minimum cost per year, calculated by the Institute of the company, the sixteen main proposals of the socialist program and François Hollande for the presidency in 2012.

Measures François Hollande

The Institute has calculated the company eight measures developed by the Socialist candidate in the primary. First, the creation of 12,000 teaching positions per year, or 60,000 on the five-year term. This would cost 360 million euros per year, cumulative $ 1.8 billion in 2017. "These new posts create an implicit debt to the State, which undertakes to pay the pensions of these agents when they reach retirement age," says the Institute. The rating is saltier contracts for generation, exempting charges for three years as a young recruit companies while maintaining a senior job.This measure, the five-year cumulative, burden on public finances from 30.5 to 33 billion.

Another strong measure: the extension of the RSA under 25 years of activity without preconditions. The Enterprise Institute estimates that 120,000 to 200,000 young people could be affected, which would represent an annual cost of 528 to 876,000,000. With "a serious risk of imprisonment in a youth inactivity trap and a significant risk of fraud", the RSA representative "70% of the money diverted to family allowance." The Institute also estimated the cost of the massive development of renewable energy and reducing from 75 to 50% of the nuclear power generation by 2025. The bill? 10.9 billion a year.If this effort can reduce French imports of energy, it will be "on the other hand a negative effect on the purchasing power of households, through the rising cost of energy bills," warns the IDE.

The measures of the Socialist Party

Winner of the primary, Francois Hollande has not yet specified what action the program he intended to resume the PS no fax payday loans. The Institute has calculated the company in the main. The establishment of a public early childhood, a key measure of the project would cost between 4.5 and 5 billion per year. Half the budget of the justice! The bulk of the bill would come from the creation of 360,000 childcare places (3.8 billion per year … just by operating costs), welcoming children from 2 years to kindergarten cost him, by 720 million year.Much controversy as the assistant accused of favoring the creation of a study allowance for trainees is paradoxically less expensive. The Institute's $ 1.3 billion per year. The reason? This new allowance would replace other aid, and especially young people concerned only with limited resources. The bill would particularly high, however (9.6 billion per year), if the allowance was extended to all students, warns the Institute.

In a more traditional vein, the PS promotes the appreciation of the disabled adult allowance (AAH) and better care for older people, through the personal autonomy allowance (APA).According to the Institute, which takes the hypothesis of a revaluation of these allowances by 20% over five years, the AAH would cost $ 1.7 to $ 1.9 billion a year more, and the APA, 1, 5-2100000000.

Cell quantification of presidential projects, implemented by the Institute of the company, will now address the evaluation of the revenue side of the PS program. The question is whether Francois Hollande planned 30 billion of resources to balance its balance sheet. Last outstanding issue: the institute did not look back on the pension reform, suggested by the PS but never clearly put on the table by François Hollande. If this were the case, the encryption would rise much faster.

On Tuesday, the Higher Audiovisual Council (CSA) launched the call for applications for six new free DTT channels. Candidates submit their applications no later than January 3 next, they will be audited between 5 and 9 March and mid-March, CSA will appoint the selected files. The permits will be issued in May and channels will be launched in the fall for at least 25% of the population.

This is a great gift for viewers, but it's a puzzle dangerous for the TV market. With 25 free channels instead of 18 now, the whole landscape that will, once again upset. The Ministry of Culture no mistake. To limit the damage, he advocates the creation of channels with smaller economies than minigénéralistes who need to drain the advertising market heavily to live.

In its report on the future of TNT, Michel Boyon, the president of CSA, stressed that the advertising market is not extensible. This observation invites the CSA and the Rue de Valois to protect the large general-interest channels that have already been hard hit by the creation of DTT channels in 2005. In six years, these have already assumed 25% of the television audience and 12.5% ​​market pub. Today, however, only those projects that should be presented by Team TV, Screenrush, NextRadioTV (RMC Sport) or Equidia (PMU) are channels. All others are minigénéralistes. And propose TF1 TV Breizh, push M6 M6 Family WikiTV and Paris Première. Canal + continues to campaign for the free channel Canal 20 payday loans.

For its part, has already promised an NRJ TV Honey aimed at women and a chain TV Nostalgia for heritage programs.The CSA will decide whether looking for channels to anger the left or if historical actors assigns frequencies to minigénéralistes.

Specialists in the advertising market are reassured by any equation. "While 2011 will end positively for advertising, Régine note Tournier, expertise and purchasing director at Havas Media, there is a slowdown and we have no visibility into 2012. The arrival of new channels is likely to introduce more competition in the market and lower prices. "

"A market of mass media"

On the other hand, the expert noted, "it is not certain that the arrival of channels is a good thing because it will encourage the fragmentation of audiences.Strings that will fare best will be those backed by a large group to benefit from synergies. "

Another danger, if the number of free DTT channels increases, the pay packages of cable and satellite will lose their appeal. "The more free channels, said one expert, the less reason to subscribe to a pay offer. Especially since they are important channels of cable and satellite (TV Team, Equidia, Paris Première, Ed) which candidatent to DTT. "

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In Slovakia, the cacophony lasted all day. And eight and a half hour debate will not be enough. On Tuesday evening, the Slovak deputies rejected the strengthening of the Financial Assistance Fund in the euro area (EFSF). A decision that could aggravate the debt crisis in the eurozone. Indeed, the unanimity of the country is essential to confirm the agreement reached by the Heads of State on July 21.

Neither the European Commission's exhortations asking Bratislava to endorse the extension of funds or calls Jean-Claude Trichet speaking in a crisis "systems" need to "fight with great determination" n 'So it will not change. Nor the assurances of the German Chancellor, Angela Merkel, a trip to Vietnam, according to which euro area "political will to overcome the crisis."

Iveta Radicova, Slovak Prime Minister, had nevertheless put pressure, making the vote on the European relief fund about trust, it has finally add fuel to the fire. A party member of the governing coalition, the Freedom and Solidarity movement (12.1% of the vote), who refused from the beginning to support the EFSF, from the outset has responded by announcing that he would not participate simply not election. For weeks, he keeps saying that Slovakia is a country too poor to pay for the mistakes of others and pay 7.7 billion euros. Moreover, in all 124 deputies present, 55 elected representatives voted in favor, 9 against and 60 did not vote.

Early elections

Remains a second vote could take place quickly, as the Constitution allows it, it was said in Bratislava.The ruling coalition without a majority in Parliament, the government would not have other means to turn to the opposition. The Social Democratic Party understands the benefit to be derived from the situation: this very night, the Smer-SD announced its readiness to support the strengthening of EFSF, provided that early elections are held. "If the talks begin, I believe that voting can take place this week," said the spokesman of the party.

In short, just a few days of the summit of European governments scheduled for October 23, the rescue of the euro remains an issue that can not stop dividing.

It would almost forget that a new had to reassure the Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou.Troika (European Commission, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund) has given the green light Tuesday to release "probably in early November," the new $ 8 billion promised to Greece as part of the loan to was granted last year.

The teams of the troika, which had suspended in early September, their on-site because the government was not fast enough in its reforms, believe that additional measures of rigor taken since mid-September "should be sufficient" to address the situation of the country and achieve the deficit to 14.9 billion next year.

Although they recognize that the revenues from privatization will be "significantly lower" to 5 billion euros that had been planned for this year.Similarly, they note the upward revision of the public deficit to 8.5% of GDP (gross domestic product) instead of 7.4% for 2011. But they keep their hopes for sales of state enterprises still bring 35 billion to Athens late 2014.

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The European Central Bank keeps its cool. Faced with signs of recession in the eurozone and while a leading European bank, Dexia, is faltering, the ECB has decided not to ease monetary policy. It has left its main interest rate unchanged at 1.50%. A level considered "low" by the Board of Governors of the Central Bank.

At its last monthly press conference as president of the monetary institution, Jean-Claude Trichet said the ECB expects inflation "clearly above 2% in the coming months," before descending. One way to tell between the lines that interest rates are unlikely to be lowered over the next two months. Inflation in the euro zone peaked at 3% in September, a point above the objective of the ECB.

Still, the market calls for a rate cut."It reflects a lower rate of 0.5", observe the economists Societe Generale. Waiting judged "crazy" in the short term by the Luxembourg member of the Governing Council of the ECB, Yves Mersch.

The case for a rate cut was not, however, rule out of hand. For if the decision was consensus among the governors of the institution, the discussions were long, admitted Jean-Claude Trichet: "There was a discusion about the pros and cons of a rate cut or a maintenance of rates. After this long discussion, which was, I would say, as thorough and comprehensive as possible, we decided by consensus to maintain the rates. "

Some analysts point to a worrying season looming disaster on the front of the activity in the eurozone."The risks to growth, was talking about last month the President of the European Central Bank Jean-Claude Trichet, materialize," are economists at BNP Paribas CIB. In addition, "forecast the ECB behind sluggish growth at year end," they add online pay day loans.

Semi-surprise

The inaction of the ECB, however, is only half surprised. Jean-Claude Trichet, whose every word, in its public statements, is weighed, has not hinted in September that the ECB cut rates. Moreover, "the guardian of the euro zone will wait to act to have more evidence that inflation and growth will slow," noted economist of Nomura.

Observers expect more on a rate cut later this year. "Jean-Claude Trichet is expected to set the stage Thursday in a future rate cut in the next three months," analysts at Nomura advance.

Measures for banks

Taking note of the tense situation of European banks, the ECB launched a series of measures. It provides two refinancing operations unlimited volume of about a year in October and December. This exceptional instrument had not been asked since December 2009.

Jean-Claude Trichet also announced a relaunch of the repurchase program bonds. This will cover 40 billion euros between November 2011 and October 2012. The "bonds" are essentially backed securities real estate, and essential to the survival of many specialized banks in Europe. The purpose of all these operations is "to ensure that banks in the euro area are not limited in regard to liquidity," said French.

The ECB has also called for a recapitalization of institutions in the euro area. They must "do whatever is necessary to strengthen their balance sheets," pleaded Jean-Claude Trichet, using it for their profits, or paying wages "moderate".

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"If your forget you Papi, did you not understand!" This is the slogan that the Feast of grandfathers proudly looks for Sunday, October 2. This annual event occurred in 2008 reflects the growing weight What grandparents grandmothers are celebrated in France on the first Sunday in March since 1987 not only in the family hierarchy but also in the population. In fact, 50% of those age 55 have at least one small child bad credit personal loan lenders. "Women are becoming grandmothers at 54 years on average, while men are becoming grandparents at age 56," says Sophie Schmitt, founder and CEO of Seniosphere, a consulting firm in strategy and marketing on the target of baby Boomers and seniors.

Poster of the 2011 edition of the Festival of grandfathers. DR.

UBS has not finished paying the consequences of fraud valued at 1.5 billion euros of one of its traders in London. Beyond a tarnished reputation, the scandal threatens the investment activity of UBS and its credit rating, sesame to borrow on the markets. In fact, Moody's has been quick to draw. In the evening, the rating agency has under surveillance the notes of the first Swiss bank to a possible degradation. If the loss due to fraud is "manageable" by the bank, Moody's noted, "these losses raise questions about the group's ability to successfully rebuilding its investment banking operations," said the specialist assessment Financial. More worryingly, Moody's believes that the event shows the "weaknesses in risk management group."

The rating agency also reserves the possibility to study "the implications of such an event on the ability of management to grow the sales of the investment bank in a suitable manner in terms of risk and the potential impact on profits of another setback on that front free business cards. " And Moody's adds: "Similarly, we will consider the potential implications of such an event on the reputation of UBS to its customers of its private banking and wealth management."

However, Moody's believes that the examination of the situation "is unlikely to lead to damage of more than one notch."The bank in turn stated that the case was likely to plunge into the red its third quarter results, but that customers should not suffer directly.

Markets, the penalty was immediate: the title UBS closed Thursday down 9.75% to 10.80 Swiss francs in a market up 0.29%. It must be said that the bank accumulated problems. In 2008, she was among the banks most exposed to subprime. More recently, the bank paid the $ 780 million U.S. in tax evasion Affiris. And some observers are quick to mention the outright end of the business of investment bank UBS.

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The Paris Bourse was able to string together a second consecutive increase session on Wednesday. The CAC 40 closed up 1.87% to 2949.14% points. Like him, Frankfurt and London end of respective increases of 3.23% and 1.02%. Milan won 2.69% and 2.70% Madrid.

But these sharp increases conceal a very strong tension that dominated the entire session, enhanced by the excitement of Wall Street in the afternoon. The indices have been a roller coaster, changing direction at the rate of market rumors regarding the euro area.For example, one on a veto of Austria to strengthen the European support fund, has reduced the CAC in the afternoon, before being denied and allow a rise in prices.

Operators have reacted strongly to all new they had prior to the call for debt in Athens tonight, between the Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel. They expect this meeting to real progress on the issue of Greece's debt.

The Polish Finance Minister, whose country holds the rotating presidency of the EU, has poured oil on the fire by stating that Europe was "in danger". Conversely, José Manuel Barroso has played the appeasement card confirming the presentation of a study on options for the creation of Eurobonds, desired by the market mechanism guaranteed online personal loans.Pending possible support more concrete, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao in turn referred to a strengthening of Chinese investment in Europe.

Side values, the banking sector has best illustrated the nervousness of investors. Despite degradation by Moody's debt of Societe Generale and Credit Agricole, and the maintenance of a negative watch for BNP Paribas, the banks had continued to rebound early in the day. But the trend was reversed late in the session. Finally, BNP Paribas 3.93% drops to EUR 26.90 and signs the worst performance of the CAC. Societe Generale lost 2.88% to 17.38 euros (the share was still over 8% in half an hour of closing). Crédit Agricole manages to stay in the green of accuracy (1.22% to 5.21%).

Areva decline (-2% to 20.58 euros) despite the announcement by the BBC of an order of over one billion euros by EDF (3.20% to 19.98 euros).Michelin, which maintains its targets for 2011, gaining 5.13% to 46.49 euros.

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